Sensex ends on Friday 19 pts down, Nifty at 10,768; Sun Pharma up 8%


Benchmark indices trimmed their morning losses and ended flat on Friday even as yields on the 10-year government bonds hit over 8% in the opening session today, first time since May 2015, but soon declined.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 35,444, down 19 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,768, down 1 points.

Among individual stocks, Sun Pharma surged over 8%, while Dr. Reddy ended nearly 5% higher on the BSE.

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Pharma index rose 4.26% today led by a rise in the shares of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, Lupin and Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories.

Investors also continued to react to Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) first rate hike since 2014, while maintaining a neutral stance.

Shares of Reliance Industries (RIL) have moved higher by 1.5% to Rs 986 per share, rebounding 2.6% from their intra-day low of Rs 961 on the BSE.

Shares of select public sector undertaking (PSU) banks were quoting higher for the third straight trading day ahead of Finance Minister Piyush Goyal’s meeting on Friday with the chief executives of 15 public sector banks (PSBs) in Mumbai. Dena Bank, Uco Bank and Corporation Bank were up 5% each, while Punjab National Bank (PNB), Bank of Maharashtra, Indian Overseas Bank, Andhra Bank and Allahabad Bank were up in the range of 3% to 4%. Shares of State Bank of India (SBI) however, trading 0.17% lower at Rs 269 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).

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Reblog: Mark To Market Definition: Day Trading Terminology


Mark to market refers to an investment measure or accounting tool used to record an asset’s value to reflect the market value of the security rather than its book value.

The tool is commonly used on futures accounts and helps to ensure that all margin requirements have been completed. When it comes to mutual funds, mark to market refers to how a fund’s net asset value is calculated every day based on the underlying investment closing prices.

Why It’s Important

In security trading, when a portfolio or investment is marked to market, then its value is usually changed in order to reflect the current market price. Investors usually take advantage of this when they are holding a position through the end of the year. Instead of being forced to close it out to realize a loss or gain, you can simply to choose to mark to market the position which will establish the position at the market price for when you file your taxes.

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Reblog: How To Trade Thin Markets


A thin market refers to a market characterized by a minimal number of buyers and sellers plus high price volatility. Also referred to as a narrow market, it is also characterized by high bid-ask spreads and low trading volume.

This type of market does experience lots of drastic swings thus making it difficult for traders and investors to trade systematically. As a result, it is quite common in a thin market for price fluctuations to be larger between transactions and slippage can be a common occurrence.

As said earlier, a thin market is characterized by a small number of traders – buyers and sellers- which results in a low volume of transactions and illiquidity. Due to this, price movement becomes more volatile.

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Indices end lower on Friday, Nifty fails to hold 10700; bank stocks fall


Benchmark indices edged lower on Friday as losses in financials offset gains in auto stocks, with investor focus shifting to the monsoons.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 35,227, down 95 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,696, down 40 points.

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Bank index ended over 1% lower led by a fall in the shares of IndusInd Bank and Federal Bank.

Meanwhile, government data showed on Thursday that Indian economy grew 7.7% year-on-year in January-March, its quickest pace in nearly two years driven by higher growth in manufacturing, the farm sector and construction.

Adani Power Mundra, a subsidiary of Adani Power, is likely to approach the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) for bankruptcy protection. This comes after its lenders stepped back from stake-sale negotiations with Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam (GUVNL), the state power distribution company.

Sun TV Network fell for fifth straight session, down 3.9% at Rs 881.85, on the NSE. Sun TV Network jumped 5.69% in last one year as compared to a 10.94% rally in Nifty and a 1.48% spurt in the Nifty Media index.

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Reblog: Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More


“In the chronicles of American financial history,” writes David Clark in The Tao of Charlie Munger: A Compilation of Quotes from Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman on Life, Business, and the Pursuit of Wealth, “Charlie Munger will be seen as the proverbial enigma wrapped in a paradox—he is both a mystery and a contradiction at the same time.”

On one hand, Munger received an elite education and it shows: He went to Cal Tech to train as a meteorologist for the Second World War and then attended Harvard Law School and eventually opened his own law firm. That part of his success makes sense.

Yet here’s a man who never took a single course in economics, business, marketing, finance, psychology, or accounting, and managed to become one of the greatest, most admired, and most honorable businessmen of our age. He was noted by essentially all observers for the originality of his thoughts, especially about business and human behavior. You don’t learn that in law school, at Harvard or anywhere else.

Bill Gates said of him: “He is truly the broadest thinker I have ever encountered.” His business partner Warren Buffett put it another way: “He comes equipped for rationality… I would say that to try and typecast Charlie in terms of any other human that I can think of, no one would fit. He’s got his own mold.”

How does such an extreme result happen? How is such an original and unduly capable mind formed? In the case of Munger, it’s clearly a combination of unusual genetics and an unusual approach to learning and life.

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Reblog: The 6 Stages Of A Trader’s Development Part 2


This is the second part of the article. The first part can be accessed here.

Stage Four: The Determined Trader

  1. This is the stage in which you learn to specialize in certain markets and trading methods.
  2. Without realizing it, you have finally found your style of trading after hours of hard work and research. You stick to your method and you improve it
  3. You realize that you need an edge whether its tape reading or being a Fibonacci expert. The important thing is you are slowly transforming yourself into a specialized trader
  4. You test your methods and they seem to work. You gain tremendous market knowledge.
  5. You reflect back on yourself and you can’t help but laugh at your foolishness.
  6. Although you have not made enough money to call yourself successful you are proud of your journey and accomplishments
  7. You realize that the Holy Grail is not about technical indicators or price patterns
  8. You calculate risk before profits and place strict money management on all your trades.
  9. You cut losses short and learn to scale out on your winners.
  10. You start accept losing as a natural part of the game
  11. You take high probability trades that you have tested and feel confident about your setups because you understand that trading is a game of probabilities
  12. Your psychological makeup has changed from an amateur mindset to a professional one.

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Nifty gains 1%, ends above 10,600 on Friday; auto, metal stocks gain


Benchmark indices rose on Friday after rupee recovered from its a 16-month low against the dollar.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 34,925, up 262 points, while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,605, up 91 points

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Metal index gained over 2% led by a rise in Hindalco, SAIL, JSPL and Tata Steel. The Nifty Auto index also rose over 1% led by Exide Industries and Tata Motors.

In individual stocks, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), the country’s biggest software services exporter, became the first Indian company. which saw its market capitalisation (market-cap) cross Rs 7-trillion mark.

Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) rallied 8% on the BSE after reports suggested that the company has entered into merger talks with the National Stock Exchange (NSE) ahead of the implementation of the universal exchange framework in October.
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Reblog: The 6 Stages Of A Trader’s Development Part 1


Stage One: The Clueless Trader

Image result for clueless trader

  1. Heard of a day trader making millions, or buying options is safe and can make you rich quickly
  2. Beginner Luck in first few trades.
  3. You will buy just to see the market reverse and you will short just as the market starts to rally. Someone is tracking my trades and making me lose money.
  4. Most of your trades are done emotionally. You buy just because the markets feel strong without any logical reason
  5. You have no clue how the mechanics and psychology of trading works. What’s worse? You are not aware that you don’t know.
  6. Most traders will blow their entire account multiple at this stage.
  7. Mostly you start your trading in fag end of bull market
  8. You will spend more time finding a broker charging least brokerage.Tracking World Markets, Bitcoins instead of making a trading plan for next day.
  9. A big majority of people will leave trading and blame the randomness of markets, or say markets are always manipulated
  10. You don’t know what is short selling or have never tried it, no idea of stop loss as well
  11. You are in the unconscious incompetence stage, at this stage, your capital is at maximum risk

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Reblog: How to Value Invest in a Bull Market: Advice From Irving Kahn


You might not be aware of him, but Irving Kahn is one of the best value investors to have ever lived.

Unlike other, more famous value investors, Kahn kept a relatively low profile during his career, but that does not mean his advice is any less relevant.

Born in 1905, Kahn’s investing career began in 1928. He continued value investing until his death a few years ago. Kahn was one of the few value investors who were able to learn from the godfather of value investing himself, Benjamin Graham. In fact, Kahn worked closely with Graham over his career, even assisting as Graham’s teaching assistant at Columbia University Business School. He went on to contribute to Graham’s bible on value investing, “Security Analysis,” by providing some statistical help.

Such a close relationship with Graham helped Kahn build his value mentality, and he was able to add to this base education over the course of his career as he rode through the peaks and troughs of the market.

Indeed, Kahn’s long life gave him an unrivaled knowledge of the market, stocks and trading psychology. Kahn’s career started in the days when it was not easy to find an undervalued equity; you had to do the hard work yourself:

“I understand that net-net stocks are not too common anymore, but today’s investors should not complain too much because there were only a handful of industries in which to look for stocks in the old days. Now there are so many different types of businesses in so many different countries that investors can easily find something. Besides, the Internet has made more information available. If you complain that you cannot find opportunities, then that means you either haven’t looked hard enough or you haven’t read broadly enough.”

Kahn wrote few thought pieces over his career but those he did pen are fascinating. In 2012, a letter to Kahn’s investors from himself was published on Bloomberg. It contained some advice on the state of the market and thoughts on the market rally that was in place since 2009:

“I’ve seen a lot of recoveries. I saw crash, recovery, World War II. A lot of economic decline and recovery. What’s different about this time is the huge amount of quote-unquote information. So many people watch financial TV—at bars, in the barber shop. This superfluity of information, all this static in the air.

There’s a huge number of people trading for themselves. You couldn’t do this before 1975, when commissions were fixed by law. It’s a hyperactivity that I never saw in the ’40s, ’50s, and ’60s. A commission used to cost you a hell of a lot; you couldn’t buy and sell the same thing 16 times a day.”

With many decades of experience behind him at this point, Kahn’s views on the level of trading being conducted by investors are fascinating. This was only a few years ago, and in that time trading volumes have picked up further still. If Kahn thought there was too much information around in 2012, what would he have thought today?

What was his advice at the time? Well, Kahn warned readers that, considering the level of the market and overtrading, it’s best to look to protect the downside, don’t take on too much risk and stick to the basics because you never know when the decline will come:

“You say you feel a recovery? Your feelings don’t count. The economy, the market: They don’t care about your feelings. Leave your feelings out of it. Buy the out-of-favor, the unpopular. Nobody can predict the market. Take that premise to heart and look to invest in dollar bills selling for 50¢. If you’re going to do your own research and investing, think value. Think downside risk. Think total return, with dividends tiding you over. We’re in a period of extraordinarily low rates—be careful with fixed income. Stay away from options. Look for securities to hold for three to five years with downside protection. You hope you’re in a recovery, but you don’t know for certain. The recovery could stall. Protect yourself.”

The original article is authored by Rupert Hargreaves and is available here.


Indices decline for 4th session on Friday, Sensex down 301 points


Benchmark indices declined for a fourth straight session on Friday, amid caution over uncertainty over the formation of government in Karnataka, developments in US-China trade negotiations and firm crude prices.

In a major political development, the Supreme Court held a hearing in the Karnataka government formation matter, directing that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader and the state’s new chief minister, BS Yeddyurappa, must conduct the floor test on Saturday at 4 pm.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 34,848, down 301 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,605, down 78 points

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Bank index fell as much as 0.6%, extending its drop into a third session. ICICI Bank declined 2.9%, while HDFC Bank slipped 0.8%.

The Nifty PSU Bank Index also shed 1.6%, in what could be its fourth consecutive session of fall, on continued concerns about disappointing quarterly results due to a jump in bad-loan provisions.
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