Sensex surges 177 pts, Nifty ends at 11,665; financials rally

The benchmark indices ended on a positive note on Friday after two consecutive sessions of losses, lifted by a sudden surge in the last 15 minutes on a day when the indices remained rangebound for the majority of the duration.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 38,862.23, up 177.51 points, or 0.46 per cent, with Tata Steel being the top gainer and State Bank of India being the biggest loser. About 1,500 shares advanced, 1,049 shares declined, and 165 shares remained unchanged.

The NSE’s Nifty50 index closed above 11,650 level at 11,665.95, up 68 points, or 0.59 per cent.

Metal stocks advanced the most, followed by realty and IT counters. The Nifty Metal index ended almost 2 per cent higher at 3,132.35.

On a weekly basis, the S&P BSE Sensex ended 0.49 per cent higher while the NSE Nifty 50 gained 0.36 per cent on a weekly basis.

In the broader market, the S&P BSE Midcap index surged 97 points or 0.63 per cent to close at 15,509. The S&P BSE SmallCap rose 108 points or 0.72 per cent to end at 15,046.

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Reblog: IPO Analysis: HDFC Asset Management Company (AMC) Limited

Verdict: A ‘no-brainer’ Buy

IPO Snapshot:

HDFC Asset Management Company (AMC) Limited is entering the primary market on Wednesday 25th July 2018, with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 2.55 crore equity shares of Rs.5 each, by both the promoters, HDFC (34% of OFS) and UK’s Standard Life (66% of OFS), in the price band of Rs. 1,095 to Rs. 1,100 per share. Representing 12.01% of the post issue paid-up share capital, total issue size is Rs. 2,800 crore at the upper end of the price band. The issue closes on Friday 27th July and listing is likely on 6th August, which will be the 5th listing from HDFC stable.

Company Overview:

HDFC AMC, 56.97% subsidiary of HDFC Ltd, with foreign JV partner UK’s Standard Life owning 37.98% stake, is India’s second largest AMC (behind ICICI Prudential) with asset under management (AUMs) of Rs.2.91 lakh crore (31-3-18) and 13.7% market share. Company is the largest AMC with equity oriented funds (at 51.3% of AUM vis-à-vis industry average of 43.2%), which also helps it become the most profitable AMC in India, having earned net profit of Rs. 722 crore in FY18 or 18.1% market share of the industry PAT, due to higher fees earned in equity as against debt product. Thus, with only 13.7% market share in total AUM, 16.8% market share in actively managed equity-oriented AUM help the company garner 18.1% market share in net profits of the industry, comprising of 42 players. Besides high profitability, company also enjoys benefit of retailisation of portfolio, with 62% AUM coming from retail investors, unlike industry average of ~50%, again highest market share in retail AUM of 15.7%. Systematic investment plan (SIP) products, with average ticket size of Rs. 3,800, also provide high revenue visibility, as 77% of company’s SIPs are signed up for 5 years.

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Sensex ends below 35,000; metal, pharma stocks drag

Benchmark indices dropped on Friday tracking global markets, while metal and pharma stocks pulled down the indices ahead of elections in the key state of Karnataka.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 34,915, down 188 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,618, down 61 points.

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Metal index was trading over 1% lower led by a fall in shares of Hindustan Zinc and Hindalco. The Nifty IT index, too, was down led by a fall in shares of Mindtree and Wipro. Among the FMCG counters, ITC, Emami, GSK Consumer slipped over 2% on the NSE.

Pharma stocks pushed both indices lower, with the Nifty Pharma index falling over 1.5%.

Bajaj Auto, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), ITC, Reliance Industries (RIL), Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS) and JSW Steel are the six stocks that Morgan Stanley is betting on in India to play its ‘growth at reasonable price’ (GARP) investment strategy.

An Indian jeweller that saw its market worth reach $3.6 billion at the start of the year is now floundering at about a quarter of that value after one of its founders gifted some shares to family members, raising concern about the company’s governance. PC Jeweller Ltd. slumped by about half after the company said last week that one of its founders P.C. Gupta made the gifts through off-market transactions. The stock has plunged 75 per cent from a record on January 19, taking its market capitalization to Rs 58.3 billion ($873 million). It climbed 21 per cent to Rs 146.85 as of 12.31 p.m. in Mumbai on Friday.

Realty firm Godrej Properties on Friday reported over two-fold jump in its consolidated net profit at Rs 1.41 billion for the January-March quarter of last financial year on higher sales. Its net profit stood at Rs 625.9 million in the year-ago period, the company said in a filing to the BSE.

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Sensex ends flat on Friday, Nifty holds 10,300; PSU banks gain

Benchmark indices ended flat on Friday, as investors remained cautious after sentiment soured on renewed fears of a trade war after US President Donald Trump proposed more tariffs on China.

Back home, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday adopted a remarkably dovish tone, surprising analysts who were expecting the firming up of rates in the medium term, even as one of the six members in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted for a hike in an otherwise status quo policy.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 33,627, up 30 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,331, up 6 points.

Reliance Communications Ltd (RCom) said on Friday it received the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal’s (NCLAT) approval to proceed with the sale of its tower and fibre business.

Shares of public sector bank were in focus for the second straight day with Nifty PSU Bank index nearly 1%, extending its Thursday’s 5% surge, after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained status quo on the key short-term borrowing rate in its first bi-monthly monetary policy for the financial year 2018-19 (FY19) on Thursday.

Punjab National Bank (PNB), Allahabad Bank, Oriental Bank of Commerce, Bank of Baroda, Union Bank of India, Bank of India and Canara Bank were up in the range of 1% to 4% on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).

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Reblog: HDFC Standard Life IPO Review

IPO Snapshot:

HDFC Standard Life Insurance is entering the primary market on Tuesday 7thNovember 2017, with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 29.98 crore equity shares of Rs. 10 each, by both the promoters HDFC (64% of OFS) and Standard Life (36% of OFS), in the price band of Rs. 275 to Rs. 290 per share. Representing 14.92% of the post issue paid-up capital, OFS will raise Rs. 8,695 crore at the upper price band and will close on Thursday 9th November. Listing is likely on 17th November.

Company Overview:

HDFC Standard Life, HDFC’s 61.21% subsidiary, with 34.75% owned by foreign partner Standard Life, is India’s 3rd largest private sector life insurer, after ICICI Pru and SBI Life, based on market share of 16.5% among private insurers, on FY17 total premium.

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Sensex ends Friday nearly 450 pts lower, Nifty breaches 10,000; midcaps tank

Equity benchmark indices witnessed a carnage on Friday, with the Sensex ending nearly 450 points lower, while the Nifty breached 10,000-mark, falling over 150 points.

The benchmark indices fell over 1%, extending losses for the fourth straight session, while the rupee hit its weakest point since early April amid concerns that the government’s plan for a stimulus to halt an economic slowdown may have a negative impact on the fiscal deficit.

Global investor sentiment was also subdued after North Korea said it might test a hydrogen bomb in the Pacific Ocean and escalated a war of words with US President Donald Trump.

The Sensex closed down 447.60 points at 31922.44, while the Nifty ended lower by 157.50 points at 9964.40. The market breadth was negative as 524 shares advanced against a decline of 2,082 shares, while 144 shares were unchanged.

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Sensex ends the week below 27000, Nifty slips below 8,250; IT stocks drag on H1B woes

Equity benchmarks closed lower on Friday, with the Sensex falling more than 100 points amid consolidation as investors remained cautious ahead of quarterly earnings that will start next week with Infosys & TCS. Profit booking, further correction in technology stocks and weak European cues drove the market lower while buying in banking & financials stocks capped downside.

The 30-share BSE Sensex slipped 119.01 points to 26759.23 after hitting an intraday high of 27009.61. The 50-share NSE Nifty fell to hold on to 8300 level, down 30 points at 8243.80.

The broader markets, too, were under pressure with the BSE Midcap down 0.3 percent as about 1532 shares declined against 1185 advancing shares.

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Sensex snaps 7-day losing streak on bargain hunting, ends 61 points higher on Friday

The benchmark indices on Friday settled higher thanks to early rollovers to January series and bargain hunting at lower levels after market witnessed seven straight sessions of losses. The S&P BSE Sensex finished at 26,040, up 61 points, while the broader Nifty50 closed at 7,985, up 6 points. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, remained negative. On the BSE, 1,309 shares fell and 1,249 shares rose. A total of 174 shares were unchanged.

BSE Capital Goods and BSE Consumer durables were the top sectoral gainers and added nearly 1%.

Cipla was the top Sensex gainer and surged 4%, bouncing back 6.5% from intra-day low, after the pharmaceutical company said its flagship product Sereflo received final approval from UK health regulator.

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Reblog: Demonetization: Impact on stock markets


For a week now demonetization of high value notes has been polarizing the country between those who totally support the idea and those who are against it. The move has had a big impact on the stocks markets. A lot of investors are withdrawing capital from stocks. Some because they are out of funds (since the currency they had at home no longer works) and others because they expect a crash, perhaps an opportunity to buy at lower levels.

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Reblog: IPO Analysis – PNB Housing Finance

PNB Housing Finance is entering the primary market on Tuesday 25th October 2016, to raise Rs. 3,000 crore, via a fresh issue of equity shares of Rs. 10 each, in the price band of Rs. 750 to Rs. 775 per share. Based on the price discovered, company will issue 3.9 to 4.0 crore equity shares at the upper and lower end of the price band respectively. Representing 23.37% of the post issue paid-up share capital at the upper end, issue closes on Thursday 27th October.

51% subsidiary of Punjab National Bank, PNB Housing Finance is India’s 5th largest home loan provider (after HDFC, LIC Housing, Dewan and Indiabulls Housing) with loan book of Rs. 30,900 crore (30-6-16), 70% of which is housing loans, having average ticket size of Rs. 32 lakh. Average ticket size for non-housing loans, which constitute 30% of the loan book, is Rs 57 lakh. With operations mostly in the urban areas of North, South and West India, its loan book has posted CAGR of 62% between March 2012 to June 2016.

While FY16 revenue grew 52% YoY to Rs. 2,700 crore, Net interest income (NII) jumped 63% YoY to Rs. 840 crore, leading to net profit of Rs. 328 crore and EPS of Rs. 27.58, on equity of Rs. 126.92 crore. Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.98% was clocked in FY16, up from FY15’s 2.94%, while Return on average assets (RoA) stood at 1.35%, up from FY15’s 1.27%.

The stupendous financial performance continued into FY17, with revenue of Rs. 863 crore, NII of Rs. 255 crore and net profit of Rs. 96 crore for the June quarter. Q1FY17 EPS stood at Rs. 7.57. Despite the phenomenal growth, asset quality is has remained intact, infact better than industry average. Gross NPAs, as of 30-6-16, of Rs. 84 crore, represents 0.27% of gross assets.

As of 30-6-16, company had networth of Rs. 2,240 crore, translating to BVPS of Rs. 177. It has only 2 shareholders – parent Punjab National Bank (51%) and Carlyle Group (49%), the latter pursuant to its acquisition of Destimoney Enterprises in Feb 2015. Fresh issue proceeds of Rs. 3,000 crore will augment company’s capital base. Current capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stands at 13.04% vis-à-vis regulatory requirement of 12%.

Given the room which fresh capital will provide the company for further leverage, capital being lifeline for any finance business, FY17 expected EPS is estimated at about Rs. 35 per share. At Rs. 775, company’s market cap will be Rs. 12,837 crore, upon listing, based on expanded equity of Rs. 165.63 crore. Estimated BVPS, as of 31-3-17, is Rs. 340, which translates into PBV multiple of 2.3x, while the PE multiple works out to 22x, based on current year estimates.

Below is a comparison with other listed housing finance companies, both bigger and smaller than the company:

Company Name

(Rs. Crore)

Loan Assets



Gross NPA %

Current Market Cap

Mcap % to loan assets



As of 30-6-16

QoQ Growth


YoY growth


YoY growth





LIC Housing


























Indiabulls Housing













PNB Housing













Gruh Finance













Can Fin













* at upper end of price band of Rs. 775 per share

The growth rates which PNB Housing has posting is the highest in the industry (only Can Fin reported higher PAT growth in FY16, but its revenue and loan book growth was much lower). Moreover, PNB Housing’s NPAs have also been under check – 2nd best in the peer set. While net margins and RoE can improve further, based on valuation parameters of PBV multiple (2.3x) and market cap as a % to loan assets (42%), the pricing of the issue appears in-line. Growth visibility in the stock remains very high, given the fresh capital coming into the business, which provides added comfort.

Housing finance industry has been on a growth trajectory, with further headroom for growth. Company’s industry-leading growth coupled with sound fundamental position make it an attractive investment opportunity, albeit softening due to higher base.

Positive sector outlook coupled with stunning growth rates make the issue a subscribe.

Disclosure: No Interest.

The original article is authored by Geetanjali Kedia and is available here.