Sensex slumps 765pts, Nifty ends below 17,200; Reliance, FMCG, banks weigh


The key benchmark indices reversed their two-day winning streak with losses in excess of a per cent. Index heavweight Reliance Industries, banking and FMCG shares were responsible for a significant amount of the losses.

The BSE benchmark index, the Sensex, had started trade on a positive note and soon rallied to a high of 57,757 (up almost 300 points from the previous close). Selling emerged towards the end of the first-hour of trades, and thereafter it accentuated in noon deals. The BSE 30 index slumped to a low 56,641 in late trade – down 1,116 points from the day’s high. The Sensex finally ended with a loss of 765 points at 57,696.

The NSE Nifty tumbled 309 points from the day’s high of 17,490 to a low of 17,181, and eventually settled 205 points lower at 17,197.

The broader indices, however, outperformed the key benchmark indices. The BSE Midcap index ended almost flat, while the Smallcap index added 0.3 per cent. The overall market breadth was also positive, with 1,778 advancing shares versus 1,475 declining stocks on the BSE.

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RIL, HUL help Sensex end 199 points up; Nifty settles at 9,251


Benchmark indices once again failed to hold on to the day’s high levels on Friday and pared most of its gains at the end of the session, amid selling in financial, auto and metal stocks. However, oil-to-telecom behemoth Reliance Industries (RIL) and FMCG giant Hindustan Unilever (HUL) helped the indices to settle in the positive territory.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 31,642.70, up 199 points or 0.63 percent, with HUL (up nearly 5 percent) being the top gainer and NTPC (down nearly 4 percent) the biggest loser.

On the NSE, the benchmark Nifty ended at 9,251.50, up 52 points or 0.57 percent. Volatility index, India VIX, declined nearly 3.5 percent to 38.53 levels.

In the broader market, the S&P BSE MidCap index ended flat at 11,423.81 while the S&P BSE SmallCap index slipped 0.45 percent to 10,638.70 levels.

Shares of Cyient were locked in a 10% lower circuit on lower-than-expected Q4 results. A combined 2.65 million equity shares had changed hands on the counter and there were pending sell orders for around 82,000 shares on the NSE and BSE. The stock of the IT consulting and software firm was trading close to its 52-week low of Rs 200 touched on April 28, 2020.

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Sensex climbs 337 points, Nifty ends at 10,941; Maruti jumps 4%


Benchmark indices were trading higher in Friday’s afternoon trade, lifted by bank and automobile stocks.

The S&P BSE Sensex was trading around 36,890 levels, up 250 points, or 0.68 per cent. Tech Mahindra, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, NTPC, and Reliance Industries were the top gainers in the Sensex pack. The broader Nifty50 index was hovering near 10,920 level, up 73 points, or 0.67 per cent.

Nifty sectoral indices were trading largely in the green. While Nifty Private Bank index was up 1.2 per cent, Nifty Pharma index was down 0.5 per cent..

In the broader market, the S&P BSE MidCap index climbed 50 points, or 0.37 per cent, at 13,330 levels, while the S&P BSE SmallCap index zoomed 55 points, or 0.44 per cent, higher to 12,550 levels.

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Sensex ends 100 points up after a volatile day; Nifty below 11,000


Fresh trade war concerns between the United States and China weighed down investors’ sentiment on Friday leading to a sluggish trade through the day. The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex and the broader Nifty50 plummeted 411 points and 131 points respectively during the intra-day trade before staging a smart recovery during the last trading hour.

Indices inched higher on reports that the PMO took stock of the steep sell-off being witnessed in the market since the presentation of the Union Budget 2019-20. Reports suggested that PMO met officials from the Finance Ministry on Thursday to discuss concerns raised by the FPIs and even considered proposals submitted by them.

The Sensex closed at 37,118 level, up 100 points, or 0.27 per cent with Bharti Airtel, Asian Paints, Bajaj Auto, and Maruti being the top gainers. On the other hand, Tata Steel, SBI, Vedanta, and ONGC ended the day with steep losses. The broader Nifty50 failed to hold the psychological 11,000-mark to end at 10,997, up 17 points, or 0.16 per cent.

In the broader markets, S&P BSE Mid-cap closed at 13,547 level, up 20 points, or 0.15 per cent while the S&P BSE Small-cap settled 55 points, or 0.44 per cent, lower at 12,496 level.

Sectorally, metals slipped the most as risks to global economy increased after US President Donald Trump imposed fresh tariffs Chinese imports. The index dipped 2.16 per cent at close, followed by Nifty PSU Bank, down 1.12 per cent. Among the gainers, Nifty Auto index ended 1.26 per cent higher, followed by Nifty IT index, which gained 0.57 per cent on the back of weaker rupee.

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Sensex slumps 192 pts, Nifty below 11,800; pvt banks, metal stocks drag


Benchmark indices erased their early gains to close Friday’s session lower, dragged down by metal stocks.

The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex closed 192 points, or 0.48 per cent, lower, with YES Bank, IndusInd Bank, Tata Motors, Reliance Industries, and ONGC the top losers.

The broader Nifty50 index slipped 53 points, or 0.45 per cent, to 11,789. The market breadth remained in favour of sellers. About 919 stocks declined and 822 advanced on the NSE.

On a weekly basis, however, the indices gained with the Sensex closing 0.5 per cent higher and the Nifty climbing 0.6 per cent.

Among Nifty sectoral indices, only three closed the day in the green. Nifty Metal, down 1.1 per cent, took the deepest cuts while the Nifty Private Bank index dipped 0.6 per cent.

In the broader market, the S&P BSE MidCap index settled 45 points, or 0.3 per cent, lower at 14,808, while the S&P BSE SmallCap index lost 10 points, or 0.07 per cent, to 14,239.

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Sensex ends 361 pts higher ahead of exit polls outcome


Snapping their three-day losing streak, the benchmark indices settled around 1 per cent higher on Friday ahead of the outcome of state exit polls due later in the day.

That apart, market will also closely watch the outcome of OPEC-Russia meet, which is expected to come later in the day.

The S&P BSE Sensex climbed 361 points or 1.02 per cent to settle at 35,673 while NSE’s Nifty50 index added 93 points or 0.87 per cent to end at 10,694.

Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Bank index rose 1.5 per cent led by a rise in ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank. The Nifty Auto index, too, rose 0.9 per cent led by Bajaj Auto and Maruti Suzuki.

In the broader markets, the S&P BSE MidCap index rose 0.2 per cent to end at 14,717, while the S&P BSE SmallCap index slipped 0.3 per cent to 14,105.

On the political front, market participants are awaiting exit poll results of five state elections due after market hours today. The result of the assembly elections will likely set the tone for the general elections next year.

The rupee traded on a firm note during the day rising to 70.45 against the US dollar amid fall in oil prices ahead of the crucial OPEC meet outcome. The domestic unit on Thursday closed at 70.90.

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Reblog: IPO Analysis – PNB Housing Finance


PNB Housing Finance is entering the primary market on Tuesday 25th October 2016, to raise Rs. 3,000 crore, via a fresh issue of equity shares of Rs. 10 each, in the price band of Rs. 750 to Rs. 775 per share. Based on the price discovered, company will issue 3.9 to 4.0 crore equity shares at the upper and lower end of the price band respectively. Representing 23.37% of the post issue paid-up share capital at the upper end, issue closes on Thursday 27th October.

51% subsidiary of Punjab National Bank, PNB Housing Finance is India’s 5th largest home loan provider (after HDFC, LIC Housing, Dewan and Indiabulls Housing) with loan book of Rs. 30,900 crore (30-6-16), 70% of which is housing loans, having average ticket size of Rs. 32 lakh. Average ticket size for non-housing loans, which constitute 30% of the loan book, is Rs 57 lakh. With operations mostly in the urban areas of North, South and West India, its loan book has posted CAGR of 62% between March 2012 to June 2016.

While FY16 revenue grew 52% YoY to Rs. 2,700 crore, Net interest income (NII) jumped 63% YoY to Rs. 840 crore, leading to net profit of Rs. 328 crore and EPS of Rs. 27.58, on equity of Rs. 126.92 crore. Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.98% was clocked in FY16, up from FY15’s 2.94%, while Return on average assets (RoA) stood at 1.35%, up from FY15’s 1.27%.

The stupendous financial performance continued into FY17, with revenue of Rs. 863 crore, NII of Rs. 255 crore and net profit of Rs. 96 crore for the June quarter. Q1FY17 EPS stood at Rs. 7.57. Despite the phenomenal growth, asset quality is has remained intact, infact better than industry average. Gross NPAs, as of 30-6-16, of Rs. 84 crore, represents 0.27% of gross assets.

As of 30-6-16, company had networth of Rs. 2,240 crore, translating to BVPS of Rs. 177. It has only 2 shareholders – parent Punjab National Bank (51%) and Carlyle Group (49%), the latter pursuant to its acquisition of Destimoney Enterprises in Feb 2015. Fresh issue proceeds of Rs. 3,000 crore will augment company’s capital base. Current capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stands at 13.04% vis-à-vis regulatory requirement of 12%.

Given the room which fresh capital will provide the company for further leverage, capital being lifeline for any finance business, FY17 expected EPS is estimated at about Rs. 35 per share. At Rs. 775, company’s market cap will be Rs. 12,837 crore, upon listing, based on expanded equity of Rs. 165.63 crore. Estimated BVPS, as of 31-3-17, is Rs. 340, which translates into PBV multiple of 2.3x, while the PE multiple works out to 22x, based on current year estimates.

Below is a comparison with other listed housing finance companies, both bigger and smaller than the company:

Company Name

(Rs. Crore)

Loan Assets

Revenue

PAT

Gross NPA %

Current Market Cap

Mcap % to loan assets

PE

PBV

As of 30-6-16

QoQ Growth

FY16

YoY growth

FY16

YoY growth

Margin

30-6-16

FY17E

FY17E

LIC Housing

1,27,437

1.8%

12,396

16.2%

1,661

19.8%

13.4%

0.59%

31,087

24%

16.9x

2.8x

Dewan

72,012

3.6%

7,312

22.2%

729

17.4%

10.0%

0.98%

10,455

15%

11.6x

1.7x

Indiabulls Housing

71,026

3.4%

8,290

28.2%

2,345

23.4%

28.3%

0.84%

37,121

52%

12.5x

2.7x

PNB Housing

30,901

13.7%

2,700

51.6%

328

68.9%

12.1%

0.27%

12,837*

42%*

22.1x*

2.3x*

Gruh Finance

11,543

3.9%

1,275

20.3%

244

19.5%

19.1%

0.56%

12,409

108%

44.3x

11.1x

Can Fin

11,183

5.1%

1,084

32.6%

157

82.1%

14.5%

0.24%

4,861

43%

22.1x

4.3x

* at upper end of price band of Rs. 775 per share

The growth rates which PNB Housing has posting is the highest in the industry (only Can Fin reported higher PAT growth in FY16, but its revenue and loan book growth was much lower). Moreover, PNB Housing’s NPAs have also been under check – 2nd best in the peer set. While net margins and RoE can improve further, based on valuation parameters of PBV multiple (2.3x) and market cap as a % to loan assets (42%), the pricing of the issue appears in-line. Growth visibility in the stock remains very high, given the fresh capital coming into the business, which provides added comfort.

Housing finance industry has been on a growth trajectory, with further headroom for growth. Company’s industry-leading growth coupled with sound fundamental position make it an attractive investment opportunity, albeit softening due to higher base.

Positive sector outlook coupled with stunning growth rates make the issue a subscribe.

Disclosure: No Interest.

The original article is authored by Geetanjali Kedia and is available here.