The Indian equity market has a long history and there are many participants in it. These participants include retail traders / investors, institutions (Domestic as well as Overseas), prop desks, arbitrageurs, hedgers, etc. Retail participants invest in the market both directly and indirectly through institutions. These institutions are known as Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) and comprise of Mutual Funds, Banks, Insurance companies etc.
On the other hand, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) or Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) are overseas entities registered in India and allowed to invest in the Indian stock markets. They play an important role in our market as they hold a decent chunk of overall investment in Indian equities.
FII activity in cash market segment should not be traced as a trading signal because they invest with long term perspective mainly. This data should be used as a helping tool for forming a positional view on the market. For short term trading their future & options activity should be tracked.
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The original post appeared on the website of Economic Times and can be found here.
The Nifty50 rallied over 4 per cent in July and the trend may continue in August too. Technical charts and options data show a bullish picture as off now, which means if the market managed to sustain the momentum, Nifty may very well touch the 9,000 mark in August.
But here is the spoiler. Data for the past 10 years shows August has not been great for the bulls. On an average, the Nifty50 has given a negative return of nearly 1 percent in last 10 years. The index saw deep cuts of over 5 percent in August in three out of last 10 years.
In 2011, the Nifty50 saw a vicious cut of 8.8 percent in August, followed by a deep cut of 6.6 per cent in 2015. In 2015, the Nifty50 plunged 5.8 per cent.
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