Mixed global cues kept the domestic equities volatile throughout the day on Friday as investors digested key updates from both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. Meanwhile, Brent crude inched closer to $93 per barrel-mark, and bond yields climbed in the US and in India, which added to the nervousness in the markets.
The S&P BSE Sensex index oscillated 517 points intra-day and eventually settled 143 points lower at 58,645. The Nifty50, on the other hand, ended at 17,516, down 44 points. Both the benchmarks were down 0.24 per cent today but were up 2.5 per cent for the week.
In the broader market, the BSE MidCap and SmallCap indices were down 0.7 per cent and 0.45 per cent, respectively.
Sectorally, the Nifty Realty index fell 2.8 per cent on the NSE, while the Nifty PSB index dipped 1.9 per cent. On the contrary, the Nifty Metal index rose 1.2 per cent.
BSE breadth was midly negative as 1,746 stocks ended in the red as against 1,595 stocks that ended in the green. MAS Financial Services (up 15.5 per cent), Spandana Sphoorty, HG Infra, and Torrent Power were among the top gainers today. EI Hotels, Greaves Cotton, Welspun India, and Radico Khaitan, on the flipside, were the top drags.
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Investors lightened their portfolios and decided to sit on cash on Friday as they await Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s third Union Budget presentation due on Monday, February 1. In a sea-saw trade today, stock specific moves swayed markets even as overall mood remained subdued.
At the index level, the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex swung 1,260 points in the intra-day trade and hit an intra-day high and low of 47,424 and 46,160. The index eventually settled 588 points, or 1.26 per cent, lower at 46,286 levels. Dr Reddy’s Labs (down 5.5 per cent) was the top loser on the index after the pharmaceutical major’s consolidated net profit came in at Rs 19.8 crore for the quarter ended December, sharply lower than analysts’ estimate of Rs 726.5 crore.
That apart, Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Auto, Infosys, Bharti Airtel, and Bajaj Finserv, down between 5 per cent and 2.5 per cent, were the top drags. On the flipside, IndusInd Bank (up nearly 6 per cent), Sun Pharma, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank were the only gainers on the Sensex.
On the NSE, the Nifty50 index closed at 13,635 levels, down 183 points or 1.32 per cent. The index hit an intra-day low of 13,597.
Both the benchmarks have erased around 5 per cent during the week.
The broader market, however, remained relatively stable with the S&P BSE MidCap and S&P BSE SmallCap index down 0.69 per cent and 0.25 per cent, respectively at close.
On the sectoral front, financial and realty stocks held their ground with the Nifty PSU Bank and Realty indices settling 1.7 per cent and 0.7 per cent higher, respectively. On the downside, Nifty Auto index tumbled around 3 per cent, while Nifty Pharma and Metal indices declined around 2 per cent each.
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Source: https://stockarchitect.com/sector/Housing-Finance-
Benchmark indices surged in the last hour of Friday’s trading session after trading in a range-bound manner for a major part of the day.
The S&P BSE Sensex added 239 points or 0.8 per cent to 37,380 levels. Hero MotoCorp, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Maruti Suzuki India, and HCL Tech were the top gainers in the Sensex pack. The broader Nifty50 hovered around 11,080 levels, up 100 points, or 0.9 per cent.
The Nifty sectoral indices, except three, were trading in the green. While Nifty Realty index rose the highest 1.6 per cent, Nifty Auto index also gained 0.9 per cent. On the other hand, Nifty Pharma index was the top loser, down 0.9 per cent.
In the broader market, the S&P BSE MidCap index was trading flat at 13,610 levels. Meanwhile, the S&P BSE SmallCap index surged 64 points, or 0.5 per cent, to 12,970 levels.
Shares of banks and non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) dropped up to 5 per cent in the morning deals on Friday, a day after Altico Capital India, a lender to real estate companies, said it has defaulted on interest payments to Mashreq Bank of Dubai. An interest payment of Rs 19.97 crore was due on September 12, according to a regulatory filing with the BSE. This payment is now in default. The principal amount for the external commercial borrowing on which Altico Capital has defaulted stands at Rs 340 crore, the filing said.
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The S&P BSE Sensex partially recovered after crashing over 1,400 points in from the day’s high to settle 280 points lower at 36,842 on Friday.
The Nifty 50 index hit a low of 10,866 levels, but settled 91 points lower at 11,143.
The decline came on the back of a sharp fall in NBFC stocks. DHFL skidded over 50% in intraday trade on fears of a liquidity crisis. The management, however, assuaged investor concerns and said the company has not defaulted on any repayments. The stock settled nearly 45 per cent lower at Rs 337.80 on the BSE. According to the analysts, the IL&FS crisis was the main reason behind the selloff. That apart, a rise in bond yields also weighed on the sentiment.
In the broader markets, the S&P BSE SmallCap index fell 3 per cent to 15,763 levels, while the S&P BSE MidCap index lost 1.7 per cent to end at 15,596 levels.
NSE’s Volatility Index (India VIX), or the fear gauge, rose by over 11%
YES Bank fell 34 per cent in intra-day trade after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) trimmed Rana Kapoor’s tenure as its MD & CEO. The private sector lender said on Wednesday that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had allowed Kapoor to continue only till January 31. According to sources, the RBI has cited corporate governance and regulatory issues for not extending Kapoor’s term. Further, the lender has been directed to search for a successor.
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For a week now demonetization of high value notes has been polarizing the country between those who totally support the idea and those who are against it. The move has had a big impact on the stocks markets. A lot of investors are withdrawing capital from stocks. Some because they are out of funds (since the currency they had at home no longer works) and others because they expect a crash, perhaps an opportunity to buy at lower levels.
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PNB Housing Finance is entering the primary market on Tuesday 25th October 2016, to raise Rs. 3,000 crore, via a fresh issue of equity shares of Rs. 10 each, in the price band of Rs. 750 to Rs. 775 per share. Based on the price discovered, company will issue 3.9 to 4.0 crore equity shares at the upper and lower end of the price band respectively. Representing 23.37% of the post issue paid-up share capital at the upper end, issue closes on Thursday 27th October.
51% subsidiary of Punjab National Bank, PNB Housing Finance is India’s 5th largest home loan provider (after HDFC, LIC Housing, Dewan and Indiabulls Housing) with loan book of Rs. 30,900 crore (30-6-16), 70% of which is housing loans, having average ticket size of Rs. 32 lakh. Average ticket size for non-housing loans, which constitute 30% of the loan book, is Rs 57 lakh. With operations mostly in the urban areas of North, South and West India, its loan book has posted CAGR of 62% between March 2012 to June 2016.
While FY16 revenue grew 52% YoY to Rs. 2,700 crore, Net interest income (NII) jumped 63% YoY to Rs. 840 crore, leading to net profit of Rs. 328 crore and EPS of Rs. 27.58, on equity of Rs. 126.92 crore. Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.98% was clocked in FY16, up from FY15’s 2.94%, while Return on average assets (RoA) stood at 1.35%, up from FY15’s 1.27%.
The stupendous financial performance continued into FY17, with revenue of Rs. 863 crore, NII of Rs. 255 crore and net profit of Rs. 96 crore for the June quarter. Q1FY17 EPS stood at Rs. 7.57. Despite the phenomenal growth, asset quality is has remained intact, infact better than industry average. Gross NPAs, as of 30-6-16, of Rs. 84 crore, represents 0.27% of gross assets.
As of 30-6-16, company had networth of Rs. 2,240 crore, translating to BVPS of Rs. 177. It has only 2 shareholders – parent Punjab National Bank (51%) and Carlyle Group (49%), the latter pursuant to its acquisition of Destimoney Enterprises in Feb 2015. Fresh issue proceeds of Rs. 3,000 crore will augment company’s capital base. Current capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stands at 13.04% vis-à-vis regulatory requirement of 12%.
Given the room which fresh capital will provide the company for further leverage, capital being lifeline for any finance business, FY17 expected EPS is estimated at about Rs. 35 per share. At Rs. 775, company’s market cap will be Rs. 12,837 crore, upon listing, based on expanded equity of Rs. 165.63 crore. Estimated BVPS, as of 31-3-17, is Rs. 340, which translates into PBV multiple of 2.3x, while the PE multiple works out to 22x, based on current year estimates.
Below is a comparison with other listed housing finance companies, both bigger and smaller than the company:
| Company Name
(Rs. Crore) |
Loan Assets
|
Revenue
|
PAT
|
Gross NPA %
|
Current Market Cap
|
Mcap % to loan assets
|
PE
|
PBV
|
|
As of 30-6-16
|
QoQ Growth
|
FY16
|
YoY growth
|
FY16
|
YoY growth
|
Margin
|
30-6-16
|
FY17E
|
FY17E
|
| LIC Housing |
1,27,437
|
1.8%
|
12,396
|
16.2%
|
1,661
|
19.8%
|
13.4%
|
0.59%
|
31,087
|
24%
|
16.9x
|
2.8x
|
| Dewan |
72,012
|
3.6%
|
7,312
|
22.2%
|
729
|
17.4%
|
10.0%
|
0.98%
|
10,455
|
15%
|
11.6x
|
1.7x
|
| Indiabulls Housing |
71,026
|
3.4%
|
8,290
|
28.2%
|
2,345
|
23.4%
|
28.3%
|
0.84%
|
37,121
|
52%
|
12.5x
|
2.7x
|
| PNB Housing |
30,901
|
13.7%
|
2,700
|
51.6%
|
328
|
68.9%
|
12.1%
|
0.27%
|
12,837*
|
42%*
|
22.1x*
|
2.3x*
|
| Gruh Finance |
11,543
|
3.9%
|
1,275
|
20.3%
|
244
|
19.5%
|
19.1%
|
0.56%
|
12,409
|
108%
|
44.3x
|
11.1x
|
| Can Fin |
11,183
|
5.1%
|
1,084
|
32.6%
|
157
|
82.1%
|
14.5%
|
0.24%
|
4,861
|
43%
|
22.1x
|
4.3x
|
* at upper end of price band of Rs. 775 per share
The growth rates which PNB Housing has posting is the highest in the industry (only Can Fin reported higher PAT growth in FY16, but its revenue and loan book growth was much lower). Moreover, PNB Housing’s NPAs have also been under check – 2nd best in the peer set. While net margins and RoE can improve further, based on valuation parameters of PBV multiple (2.3x) and market cap as a % to loan assets (42%), the pricing of the issue appears in-line. Growth visibility in the stock remains very high, given the fresh capital coming into the business, which provides added comfort.
Housing finance industry has been on a growth trajectory, with further headroom for growth. Company’s industry-leading growth coupled with sound fundamental position make it an attractive investment opportunity, albeit softening due to higher base.
Positive sector outlook coupled with stunning growth rates make the issue a subscribe.
Disclosure: No Interest.
The original article is authored by Geetanjali Kedia and is available here.
