Reblog: 10 Powerful Trading Tools


A trading tool is anything that has a function that helps you be a profitable trader.

  1. Back testing software is a tool that helps you see what type of price action trading signals were profitable in the past price data.
  2. An entry signal is a tool that tells you when to get into a trade because the odds are in your favor for a winning trade.
  3. A stop loss is a tool that limits the size of a losing trade.
  4. A trailing stop locks in open profits when a trend starts to bend.
  5. Position size determines how big your trade should be based on market volatility.
  6. A profit target is a tool to measure the potential reward if your trade works out.
  7. Moving averages are tools for quantifying a trend.
  8. Passion for the markets is the powerful internal trading tool that gives you the energy to do the needed work to be a profitable trader.
  9. Perseverance is a psychological trading tool that keeps you going even when you want to quit.
  10. Self control is an internal trading tool that enables you to follow your trading system regardless of your emotions.

Your greatest trading tools are going to be perseverance and self control. These are the only things that will buy you the time to learn how to build a profitable trading system, and once you have developed a system that works to then follow it long term.

This article was written by Steve of newtraderu.com and can be found here.


Reblog: Principles of Profitable Trading


A profitable stock trader’s success is not based on picking the right stock at the right time. There are dynamics that determine success other than entries and picks. Millionaires aren’t  created because they have a magic system for trading through all market environments. There are a couple of things that influence profitable trading, and they could surprise you.

#1. Having the right mindset to win; psychology.

#2. Managing your risk exposure on each trade; risk management.

No system will work if you can’t trade it consistently. You must stick to your method when you are losing. Whether it’s to keep taking entries, to go to the sidelines and wait for volatility, or to settle down and wait for a trend to emerge.

You must stay in the game and be ready to take your entry signals. The primary reason that traders lose money is that they give up when things get tough because they don’t have faith in their system. A trader must persevere,  never quit learning, never quit working, and always be ready to trade.

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Reblog: Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. IPO Review


Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. (LTHL) is India’s largest hotel chain in the mid-priced hotel sector, and the third largest overall, on the basis of controlling interest in owned and leased rooms, as of June 30, 2017, according to the Horwath Report. It is the ninth largest hotel chain in India in terms of owned, leased and managed rooms, as of June 30, 2017, according to the Horwath Report. LTHL operates in the mid-priced hotel sector, consisting of the upper-midscale, midscale and economy hotel segments. Company seeks to cater to Indian middle class guests and deliver differentiated yet superior service offerings, with a value-for-money proposition. The company opened our first hotel with 49 rooms in May 2004 and as on 31.01.2018 it had 4,697 rooms in 45 hotels (including managed hotels) across 28 cities in India. On the said date it has 662992 members in loyalty programme as “Lemon Tree Smiles” and the number is continuously rising.

LTHL aims to be India’s largest and most preferred chain of hotels and resorts in each of the upper-midscale, midscale and economy hotel segments. Due to the dynamic and evolving nature of Indian guests’ expectations and based on its market research, company has created three brands in order to address these three hotel segments: (1) ‘‘Lemon Tree Premier’ which is targeted primarily at the upper-midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests who seek to use hotels at strategic locations and are willing to pay for premium service and hotel properties; (2) “Lemon Tree Hotels” which is targeted primarily at the midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests and offers a comfortable, cost-effective and convenient experience; and (3) “Red Fox by Lemon Tree Hotels” which is targeted primarily at the economy hotel segment.

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Reblog: ICICI Securities IPO Review


Verdict: I C it as an expensive Security

IPO Snapshot:

ICICI Securities is entering the primary market on Thursday 22nd March 2018, with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 7.82 crore equity shares of Rs. 5 each by promoter ICICI Bank, in the price band of Rs. 519 to Rs. 520 per share. Representing 23.98% of the post issue paid-up share capital, ICICI Bank will rake in Rs. 4,017 crore at the upper end of the price band, which will help it partly off-set higher loss provisions. Issue is closing on Monday 26th March and listing is likely on 5th April.

Company Overview:

ICICI Securities, a wholly owned capital market arm of ICICI Bank, offers broking (through ICICIdirect.com), investment banking, portfolio management services (PMS) and financial products distribution (mutual fund and insurance) to retail and institutional customers, through its marketing network of 200 own branches, 2,600+ branches of ICICI Bank, 4,600+ sub-brokers and independent financial associates. The technology, whether broking or mutual fund distribution is a ‘me-too’ or easily replicable, and most other full-fledged broking firms like Motilal Oswal or a discount broker such as Zerodha or many fin-tech start-ups in mutual fund distribution have similar offerings. Hence, its technological capabilities are not out-of-the-world and are simply keeping up with the changing times. Approximately 60% of income is generated through broking, 10% from investment banking, 15% from mutual fund distribution and balance through distribution fee of insurance and other products.

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Reblog: Popularly Followed Investment Philosophies


Legendary investor Warren Buffet laid the ground rules for investment philosophy when he set two rules for investing. Rule Number 1 of investing according to Buffet is never losing money and Rule Number 2 is Don’t forget Rule Number 1.

But that is easier said than done, especially for a retail investor or a novice investor. In order not to lose money in the market is to pick up stocks which are close to the bottom. No fund manager, not even Warren Buffet has been consistently able to pick the bottom. But what differentiates a professional to a rookie is the ability to patiently wait and stick to their well-defined set of rules. It is not important to pick the bottom to make money, but as far as the price is right all that is needed to sit on the investment and patiently watch it grow. As the saying goes in the market it is not the brain that brings home the profit but its stomach to hold through the times.

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Reblog: Mishra Dhatu Nigam IPO


Verdict: Healthy LT prospects, but not for ST

IPO Snapshot:

Mishra Dhatu Nigam is entering the primary market on Wednesday 21st March 2018 with an offer for sale of up to 4.87 crore equity shares of Rs. 10 each, by the Govt. of India, in the price band of Rs. 87 to Rs. 90 per share, with Rs. 3 per share retail discount. Representing 26% of the post issue paid-up share capital, total issue size is Rs. 433 crore at the upper end of the price band. The issue is closing on Friday 23rd March and listing is likely on 4th April.

Company Overview:

Mishra Dhatu Nigam (Midhani), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Govt. of India, is India’s leading manufacturer of special steels and super alloys and the country’s sole manufacturer of titanium alloys, used in three critical sectors such as defence, space and nuclear energy, as well as in non-strategic sectors such as railways, oil and gas among others. Company has a manufacturing facility at Hyderabad and is undertaking greenfield expansion at two locations (i) Rohtak: operations to commence in FY19, to cater to needs of bullet proof jacket for the army and (ii) Nellore: plant will be operational in two phases – first part to commence in FY19-end, while second phase is under JV with NALCO will come on stream by FY21/22.

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Reblog: Strategic Investing, How to Setup a Profit vs Loss Ratio


A profit vs loss ratio is something that can by itself help you succeed investing in the stock market. They work wonders for new traders and are used by professionals as well.

This article will explain what a profit vs loss ratio is, how to set one up, and how to stay disciplined to utilize it effectively.

What They Are

A profit vs loss ratio is a plan that you put in place to limit your downside exposure on all your trades to x% while setting a target on your upside to x% return per trade. Depending on how you setup your ratio, you can be wrong more than you are right and still make money in your portfolio.

The whole point of your profit vs loss ratio is to be able to say, “hey, even if I am wrong x times in a row and then am right once, I still am making money”.

How to Setup Your Ratio

There are 2 factors to any ratio: maximum loss % per trade, and your target profit % per trade. Once you know these you know your ratio.

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Reblog: IPO Review Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.


IPO Snapshot:

Hindustan Aeronautics is entering the primary market on Friday 16th March 2018 with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 3.41 crore equity shares of Rs. 10 each by Government of India, in the price band of Rs.1,215 to Rs. 1,240 per share, with Rs. 25 per share retail and employee discount. Representing 10.2% of the post issue paid-up share capital, Government is expected to rake in Rs. 4,200 crore at the upper end of the price band. The issue is closing on Tuesday 20th March and listing is likely on 28thMarch.

Company Overview:

India’s largest defence PSU and world’s 39th largest aerospace, Navratna company Hindustan Aeronautics designs, develops, manufactures and maintains aircraft, helicopters, aero-engines, avionics, accessories and aerospace structures, including military aircrafts, such as MiG-21, MiG-27, Hawk Mk 132 and Su-30MKI. Over 90% of company’s Rs. 18,000 crore revenue is derived from Indian Defence Services, while exports account for about 3%. Business operations are divided into five verticals (Bangalore, MiG, Helicopter, Accessories and Design) comprising 20 production divisions and 11 R&D centres located across India, in addition to establishing 13 commercial JVs with American, Russian, Israeli and Canadian counterparts. Relying on both indigenous research as well as technology transfer and licence agreements with third parties, company spends ~7% of revenue annually towards R&D. Its Rs. 68,461 crore order book, as of 31-12-17, representing 4x annual topline, is also very encouraging.

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Reblog: Bandhan Bank IPO review


Bandhan Bank Ltd. (BBL) a microfinance company that got RBI license in 2015 for Bank has transited itself into a bank on 23rd August 2015. It had the mandate to bring IPO within three years of starting banking operation; it is coming much before that with its maiden IPO. BBL is a commercial bank focusing on serving underbanked and underpenetrated markets in India. Bandhan Bank has a banking license that permits it to provide banking services pan-India across customer segments. It currently offers a variety of asset and liability products and services designed for micro banking and general banking, as well as other banking products and services to generate non-interest income.

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Reblog: Top Stock Trading Techniques of All Time


Every successful trader on the planet has one thing in common – he has an edge. By that, we do not mean he has information about a company much before others and takes a position based on the information. On the contrary, the successful trader is on the same footing as anyone else, the big difference is he knows how he will act when he sees his signal on the screen and that gives him the edge over everyone else who will be swinging their bat blindly. Unlike a novice, he will trade only and only if the signal shows itself at other times he is waiting patiently.

That is all that it takes to be a successful trader, to know what to do and when to do it. But this is a huge wall to climb for a novice trader as he does not has the patience to wait or the ability of self-control.

Successful trading can be broken down into five techniques which have been followed by professional traders for whom it is now second nature.

Approach: For a successful trader, trading is his life and passion. It is as much a business as it is a game. How you approach trading decides how you will succeed. A casual approach to trading will result in mediocre results. But if trading is approached as a business with all aspects of it thought through the trader can be assured of success. The common trait among the successful traders is the businesslike approach to trading with a lot of attention to even the smallest details, writing their own logs, taking complete responsibility for their trades irrespective of the outcome.

Retail traders generally tend to search for a person or an event to blame for their losses, but a successful trader owns the losses and considers it as part of the game. It is this winning attitude that is the differentiator. Just like a successful businessman takes responsibility for the mistake of his managers and workers and moves on in the search for a solution, a good trader also moves on to the next trade. He knows that this is just one of the thousands trade that he will take in his lifetime.

Keeping it simple: A successful trader trades simple strategies. A retail trader, on the other hand, will jump from one strategy to the other if he does not see profits accumulating. He prepares complex entry and exit signals and most times mixes up his strategies. This results in loss of faith in his strategy and he jumps to test some other strategy. A professional trader will have very few and simple sets of rules which he follows and trades. His chart patterns are simple, like a breakout or a retracement entry. Such a trader has very clearly defined rules for entry and exits. A series of losses does not deter him as he knows that his strategy has been built to overtake such days in the long run. He has strong money management rules that will reduce his position in case of series of losses. On the other hand, a retail trader will increase his trading bet in order to retrieve his losses in the next trade, he seeks revenge from the market for taking money from him.

It’s OK to be wrong: Not reacting to losses takes more energy and time for a trader than to search for the right strategy. It is only after years and hundreds of trades that a trader learns how to be emotionally neutral in any situation. Many professional traders follow the trend following strategies which normally has a win-loss ratio of 0.4. In other words, six out of every ten trades that a trend follower takes will result in a loss. A retail trader will be crestfallen with such a ratio and would abandon the strategy at a time when the next trade would have resulted in a huge profit. The professional takes these losses in his strides and knows that they are in line with the long-term averages. Taking losses are important of trading, the trick is to keep them small so that one or two profitable trades will take care of the accumulated losses. Since trading is a game of uncertainties it is obvious that there will be occasions when the price moves in a different direction than the one suggested by the pattern or the signal. How one reacts to these uncertainties determines the winner in the long run. Trading consistently with discipline and tweaking the strategy after learning from the losses will in the long run help overcome uncertainties.

Plan your trade and trade your plan: Trading, like any competitive sports, requires more work out of the playground rather than in it. For a day trader, there is little time to plan as the prices move rapidly. He has to have a plan in place and trade according to the plan, the strategy has to be so engraved in him that it becomes muscle memory. Last minute thinking will only lead to losses as well as confidence. Most traders, irrespective of the time-frame they trade also do not change their trading plan and second guess when the time for action comes.

Continuous improvement: One of the key aspects of all successful traders is that they seek to improve their performance continuously. They are not competing with anyone but with themselves and the way they do this is by keeping their own logs. This way they know their mistakes that need to be rectified, their previous track record as well as how the strategy has performed at the various points of time. They are learning aspects of trading and psychology and try to incorporate these in their trading. A successful trader is always a student of the market learning with each uncertainty and ticking the checklist of having encountered another surprise so that next time he knows how to react to it.

Making money consistently in trading requires discipline and consistently more than selecting a trading strategy. The techniques used by successful traders suggest that after the initial work of selecting a strategy is done they pay more attention to the psychological aspect of trading. Ultimately it is how one reacts to unpleasant surprises is what decides the winner from the losers. This is true for life as much it is for trading.

This article appeared on tradesmartonline.in and is available here.