Reblog: How to keep cool when the market is not


Steve Wendel, head of behavioural sciences at Morningstar, chatted with markets editor Jeremy Glaser to come up with some ideas on how to keep your cool when the market isn’t. The entire interaction can be seen here. Below are the takeaways.

Understand that volatility, downward or upward, is just data.

Avoid looking at your portfolio on a daily basis, specially when there is tremendous volatility. There’s lots of research on how frequently checking your portfolio, especially during market downturns, can warp one’s behaviour and get you into trouble.

Remember that our minds play tricks on us.

If the market drops, that’s past. That’s gone. There’s nothing we can do about it. It’s really as we think forward to what will happen that our minds take that data and apply a story.

If you don’t know what that story is, it’s probably the bias of recency bias–thinking that what just happened is about to happen. But when we think about that rationally, we of course know that’s not the case.

One of the things that we can do is to round out that story: This just happened; this is what I believe is about to happen; what’s the rightful thing to do? For most professional, thoughtful investors, they know it means you look for bargains. Same exact data. Very different outcome.

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Reblog: Capitulation of the small-cap investor


The heady Indian bull market was fueled by the liquidity rush post demonetization. But that was not the only reason propelling indices in India to new highs. Thanks to lower global interest rates, money was channelized into India in the hunt for better returns. A stable government at the center, lower crude prices and low inflation were other factors that contributed to the overall positive sentiment.

But many of us wanted more than what blue chips had to offer. We wanted to “beat the market”. Or, for that matter even the track records of legendary investors like Warren Buffet or Peter Lynch. Naturally, this led us to scenarios which offered potentially superior returns. And in the perpetual hunt for 10-baggers, we ended up investing in nano-, micro- and small-cap companies with questionable business models, corporate governance and promoter intentions.

We looked at:

  • Turn around stories
  • Hope stories
  • High growth small cap names
  • Formalization of informal sector across industries
  • Commodity stocks

Many stocks that fell in the above categorizations turned out to be 10-20 baggers over the last 3-4 years. But once the music stopped, we witnessed a vertical decline in stock prices that has stunned even seasoned investors.

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Reblog: Candlestick patterns – 21 easy patterns (and what they mean) Part 2 of 3


In the first part of the post, we looked at Equal open and close, Doji patterns. In today’s post, we will discuss Short body candles.

Short body candles.

candlestick patterns long shadow days

Long Shadow candles:

Long shadows are one of the more reliable candlestick patterns.

Candles with a long top shadow and short lower shadow show us that buyers dominate the market, these can lead to or continue a bull run in prices.

On the other end.

Candles with a long lower shadow and short upper shadow show us that sellers dominate the market and these candles can lead to or continue a bear run in prices.

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Reblog: How to Trade with Candlestick Charts Like a Pro


WHILE everyone is used to seeing the conventional line charts found in everyday life, the candlestick chart is a chart variant that has been used for around 300 years and discloses more information than your conventional line chart.

The candlestick is a thin vertical line showing the period’s trading range.

A wide bar on the vertical line illustrates the difference between the open and close.

Note: The daily candlestick line contains the currency’s value at open, high, low and close of a specific day.

The candlestick has a wide part, which is called the “real body“.

This real body represents the range between the open and close of that day’s trading.

When the real body is filled in or black, it means the close was lower than the open.

If the real body is empty, it means the opposite: the close was higher than the open.

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