Reblog: Learning From Jamie Dimon


There are a number of letters that I look forward to reading each year. Some of them are well known and Buffett’s are, of course, a classic example. There are also others that have added enormous value to my thinking over the years, and that have opened my eyes to many new and varied investment opportunities. They have also helped me spot emerging themes, new ideas, thought processes and mental models. I mentioned Buffett because his 2011 letter is a case in point. In that Buffett recommended reading Jamie Dimon’s annual letters. And it’s little wonder; Buffett has said this about Dimon in the past…

“I think he knows more about markets than probably anybody you could find in the world.” 

Jamie Dimon, the son of a stockbroker, has been at the helm of JP Morgan [and it’s predecessor firm ‘Bank One’] since March 2000. In that time the tangible book value has compounded at 11.8%pa vs 5.2%pa for the S&P500. Not surprisingly, the stock price has followed, delivering a 12.4%pa return vs the S&P500’s 5.2%pa over that period. A cumulative gain of 691% versus 147% for the S&P500. Not bad considering the multitude of challenges that have faced global banks over that period, including the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

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Reblog: How to Spot Value Traps


warning sign on cliff, value traps

Growth stocks have outperformed value style equities for some time now, but there are rumours brewing value investing to stage a comeback. But to be a successful value investor, you have to be able to differentiate undervalued equities from value traps.

That’s especially true in the current UK environment, with a number of cheap-looking companies having seen further falls. Just this year, we’ve seen big share price drops from Debenhams (DEB), Capita (CPI), WPP (WPP) and ITV (ITV).

Brexit is in part to blame, but so too are the companies themselves. Carillion was a case in point – declining profit margins and excessive leverage did the outsourcer no favours.

Some of these cheap companies will pique the interest of value investors. In fact, Steve Magill, head of UBS’s European Value team, says his “natural hunting ground” is in areas where we’re seeing profit warnings. Though, he adds: “We’re trying to finesse our timing because we do know that where you have one profit warning, you’ll have many profit warnings. But that’s a time of opportunity.”

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