Reblog: IPO Review – Indian Energy Exchange Ltd.


Indian Energy Exchange Ltd. (IEX) is the largest exchange for the trading of a range of electricity products in India, in terms of traded contract volumes in the financial year 2017 according to the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (the “CERC”). Electricity products traded over its electronic trading platform comprise (i) electricity contracts in blocks of 15 minutes in the day-ahead-market (the “DAM”), (ii) electricity contracts for fixed terms in the future, such as intra-day contracts, day ahead contingency contracts and contracts up to 11 days ahead, known as the term-ahead-market (the “TAM”) and (iii) renewable energy certificates (“RECs”). IEX has commenced the trading of energy saving certificates (“ESCerts”) on Exchange on September 26, 2017. It is one of two exchanges in India that offer an electronic platform for the trading of electricity products and have a substantial majority market share among the power exchanges in India. The DAM constitutes the substantial majority of the energy contracts that are traded on IEX. In the financial years 2016 and 2017, it commanded a 99.6% and 99.4% market share, respectively, of electricity contracts in the DAM, in terms of volume, according to the CERC. According to the CERC, in the financial years 2016 and 2017, 93.7% and 94.8% of the traded contract volumes of electricity contracts in the DAM, TAM and RECs combined, were conducted over it.

The Indian power market, in terms of electricity generated, consisted of 89.7% of long-term and medium terms electricity contracts (contracts for periods of one year or over) and 10.3% of short-term electricity market (contracts for periods of under one year) for the financial year 2017, according to the CERC. The short-term electricity market includes contracts through licensed traders, direct bilateral contracts, deviation settlement mechanism (“DSM”) and contracts traded over power exchanges. The share of electricity contracts traded over power exchanges has grown from 23.8% to 34.5% of the short-term market between the financial year 2013 and the financial year 2017, according to the CERC. Further, according to CRIS, the short-term electricity market in India is expected to grow to 21.1% of electricity generated in India by the financial year 2022, of which 43.0% is expected to be traded over power exchanges.

Trading in the DAM and TAM product categories through IEX provides participants with a means to meet their power requirements and manage, among other things, availability and price of electricity. It primarily brings together sellers of power, such as independent power producers, captive power plants, distribution companies and Government owned power generation companies, and buyers of power, such as distribution companies and industrial, commercial and institutional power consumers, and provides them with a transparent, neutral and automated platform for trading of electricity. Trading on IEX is done by its members on their own behalf and on behalf of their clients, who are together known as participants on Exchange. Trades with respect to electricity contracts traded in the DAM and TAM are physically settled, meaning that settlement is made through the physical delivery of electricity itself. IEX does not own or trade electricity products for on its own account.

As of August 31, 2017, IEX had over 5,900 participants registered on its Exchange of which over 3,200 participants were active. Over 4,300 registered participants were eligible to trade electricity contracts and over 4,000 registered participants were eligible to trade RECs, as of August 31, 2017. Its participants registered to trade electricity contracts are located across 29 states and five union territories in India and include 50 distribution companies, over 400 electricity generators, and over 3,900 open access consumers. As on the same date, IEX included over 1,000 renewable energy generators and over 2,900 industry and corporate customers. In the financial year 2017, participants traded and cleared 4.62 million RECs on Exchange. Only 3.6% of power generation capacity is traded on this exchange against 30 to 70% trades on global power exchanges.

For providing exit route and listing gains, IEX is coming out with a maiden IPO by way of offer for sale of 6065009 equity shares of Rs. 10 each via book building route with a price band of Rs. 1645-1650 to mobilize Rs. 997.69 to Rs. 1000.73 crore (based on lower and upper price bands). The issue opens for subscription on 09.10.17 and will close on 11.10.17.Minimum application is to be made for 9 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE and NSE. BRLMs to this offer are Axis Capital Ltd., Kotak Mahindra Capital Co. Ltd., and IIFL Holdings Ltd. Karvy Computershare Pvt. Ltd. is the registrar to the issue. Issue constitutes 20% of the post issue paid-up capital of the company. This being a secondary offer, the company’s paid-up capital remains same at Rs. 30.33 crore post IPO. Its entire equity is issued at par so far. The average cost of selling shareholders ranges from Rs. 10 to Rs. 709.23.

On the performance front, IEX has posted total revenue/net profits of Rs. 173.99 cr. / Rs. 91.95 cr. (FY14), Rs. 176.38 cr. / Rs. 90.02 cr. (FY15), Rs. 200.14 cr. / Rs. 100.34 cr. (FY16) and Rs. 237.42 cr. / Rs. 113.57 cr. (FY17). For Q1 of the current fiscal, it has reported a net profit of Rs. 30.63 cr. on total revenue of Rs. 61.66 cr. It has posted an average EPS of Rs.34.84 and average RoNW of 39.25 for last three fiscals. The issue is priced at a P/BV of 16 plus. If we annualize latest earnings and attribute it on post issue equity then asking price is at a P/E of 40 plus. It has no listed peers to compare with. Though pricing of the IPO raises concern, its track record and bright prospects leave some room for new investors. IEX’s revenue posted CAGR of 14.5% for last five fiscals. It’s PAT margins are near 49% for all these years.

On BRLM’s front, three merchant bankers associated with the offer have handled 44 public issues in the past three years out of which 12 issues closed below the issue price as on listing date.

Conclusion: Higher spending for power infra augurs well for this company. IEX will enjoy the first mover advantage and generate more fancy post listings. Investors may consider an investment for short to long term. (Subscribe).

The original review appeared on Chittorgarh.com and is penned by Dilip Davda. It is available here.


Sensex gains 222 points, Nifty ends at 9,979 as metal stocks rally


The benchmark indices ended higher on Friday with the Nifty50 settling above its crucial 9,950 mark, buoyed by a jump in Tata Steel on strong quarterly production numbers, while investors stayed cautious as Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council meeting went underway.

The Council is likely to give a major relief to exporters as well as small and medium enterprises (SMEs).

Tata Steel, Sun Pharma, NTPC, SBI, HUL, Bajaj Finance, GAIL and Hindalco Industries lead the rally.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was strong. On the BSE, 1,703 shares rose and 963 shares fell. A total of 111 shares were unchanged.

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Reblog: Mas Financial IPO review


Mas Financial Services Ltd. (MFSL) is a Gujarat-headquartered NBFC with more than two decades of business operations and as of June 30, 2017, it operated across six States and the NCT of Delhi. Its business and financing products are primarily focused on middle and low income customer segments, and include five principal categories: (i) micro-enterprise loans; (ii) SME loans; (iii) two-wheeler loans; (iv) Commercial Vehicle loans (which include new and used commercial vehicle loans, used car loans and tractor loans); and (v) housing loans. MFSL’s shareholders include development finance institutions including FMO and DEG and private equity investors including Sarva Capital.

As of March 31, 2017 and June 30, 2017, company’s AUM was Rs. 3332.57 cr. and Rs. 3451.74 cr. respectively. Company’s AUM increased at a CAGR of 33.37% from Rs. 1053.19 cr. as of March 31, 2013 to Rs. 3332.57 cr. as of March 31, 2017. As of June 30, 2017 it had more than 500,000 active loan accounts, across more than 3165 Customer Locations in six States and the NCT of Delhi, served through our 121 branches. As of 30.06.17 it has assigned 34.1% AIMs to banks/FIs. Company’s average cost of borrowing is 9.05% and is having NIM of around 7%. Company is pursuing and maintaining stable growth and quality of portfolio by expanding product offerings to anchor its belief that growth with quality will enhance the stakeholder’s value. Company meets its funding requirements from banks like HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Union Bank, SIDBI, Union Bank, Central Bank of India etc.

To part finance augmenting its capital base to meet future capital requirements, MFSL is coming out with a maiden IPO of Rs. 460.04 crore via book building route with a price band of Rs.456 – Rs. 459. The issue consists of fresh equity issue (approx 5076252 shares) worth Rs. 233 crore and offer for sale for Rs. 227.04 crore (approx 4946405 shares). The issue opens on 06.10.17 and will close on 10.10.17. Minimum application is to be made for 32 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE and NSE. The issue is solely lead managed by Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Ltd. and Link Intime India Pvt. Ltd. is the registrar to the issue. It has reserved xx shares for eligible employees and is offering a discount of Rs.45 per share. Having raised initial equity at par from incorporation till March 2008, it raised further equity in the price range of Rs. 124.93 to Rs. 1200 per share between July 2012 and September 2017. It has also issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1 for 2 in December 2006, 1 for 2 in August 2007, 1 for 19 in December 2011, 3 for 5 in January 2014, 3 for 2 in November 2016. DEG held 4,998 CCDs that have been converted to 2,470,175 Equity Shares in the Board meeting held on September 21, 2017. FMO held 21,735,545 Series A CCPS that have been converted into 1,739,865 Equity Shares and Sarva Capital held 21,735,545 Series B CCPS that have been converted into 1,280,723 Equity Shares and 400 Series C CCPS held by nine shareholders has been converted into 87,716 Equity Shares, all in the Board meeting held on September 12, 2017. Post issue, its current paid up equity capital of Rs. 49.57 crore will stand enhanced to Rs. 54.67 crore. The average cost of acquisition of equity shares by promoters ranges from Rs. 1.06 to Rs. 2.38.

On the performance front, MFSL has (on a consolidated basis) posted revenue/net profits of Rs. 184.92 cr. / Rs. 33.09 cr. (FY14),Rs. 238.20 cr. / Rs. 40.80 cr. (FY15), Rs. 304.20 cr. / Rs. 51.45 cr. (FY16) and Rs. 364.70 cr. / Rs. 69.33 cr. (FY17). For Q1 of current fiscal, it has reported a net profit of Rs. 23.70 cr. on revenue of Rs.104.33 cr. For last five years, it has posted CAGR of 26.3% and 25.9% in revenues and net profits respectively. For last three fiscals, it has posted an average EPS of Rs. 13.13 and average RoNW of 23.75% on paid-up equity capital of Rs. 42.96 cr. (as on 31.03.17). Non-annualized EPS and RoNW are Rs. 4.75 and 6.03% on an equity base of Rs. Rs. 43.99 cr. (as on 30.06.17). The company has converted its entire preference share into equity share as on 12.09.2017 and as on 21.09.17 it’s paid-up equity capital stood at Rs. 49.57 crores. The issue is priced at a P/BV of 7.43. If we annualize latest earnings and attribute it on fully diluted equity post issue, then asking price is at a P/E of 26 plus. Thus, the issue appears fully priced.

On BRLM’s front, merchant banker associated with this offer has handled 10 public issues in the past three years out of which 3 issues closed below the issue price on the listing date.

Conclusion: Moderate investment may be considered for long-term in this fully priced issue.

The original review is penned by Dilip Davda, appears on Chittorgarh.com and is available here.


Reblog: Godrej Agrovet IPO review


Godrej Agrovet Ltd. (GAL) is a well diversified, research and development focused agri-business company with operations across five business verticals i.e. animal feed, crop protection, oil palm, dairy, and poultry and processed foods. GAL is the leading compound animal feed company in India, on the basis of installed capacity for the financial year 2016. In Bangladesh, its joint venture, ACI Godrej was the fourth largest feed producer, in terms of sales volume, during the financial year 2016. It is also the largest crude palm oil producer in India, in terms of market share, as of March 31, 2017.

In animal feed business, GAL’s portfolio of products comprises cattle feed, poultry feed (broiler and layer), aqua feed (fish and shrimp) and specialty feed. Animal feed products are manufactured at 35 facilities, of which 10 facilities are owned and seven are operated by it, located near major consumption centers across India, with an aggregate production capacity of 2.36 million MT per annum, as of June 30, 2017. Company’s pan-India distribution network for animal feed products includes approximately 4,000 distributors, as of June 30, 2017.

In crop protection business, GAL manufactures a wide range of products that cater to the entire crop lifecycle including plant growth regulators, organic manures, generic agrochemicals and specialized herbicides. In October 2015 it acquired a majority equity interest in Astec LifeSciences (ALS) and currently own 56.82% of the outstanding equity shares. ALS manufactures agrochemical active ingredients (technical), bulk and formulations as well as intermediate products and sells its products in India as well as exports them to approximately 24 countries, including the United States and countries across Europe, West Asia, South East Asia and Latin America. ALS also undertakes contract development and manufacturing services for other agrochemical companies. ALS sells all its products to institutional customers, while GAL sells its products primarily to retail consumers. The distribution network of Company’s crop protection business in India includes approximately 6,000 distributors, as of June 30, 2017.

In oil palm business, GAL produces a range of products including crude palm oil, crude palm kernel oil and palm kernel cake. The company purchases fresh fruit bunches (“FFBs”) from palm oil farmers and work closely with them by providing planting material, agricultural inputs and technical guidance. It has entered into memoranda of understanding with nine state governments, which provides the company with access to approximately 61,700 hectares under oil palm plantation, which is equivalent to approximately one-fifth of India’s area suitable for oil palm cultivation, as of March 31, 2017. This public-private partnership model, which, has been promoted by the Government of India, allows GAL to maintain an asset-light business model. The company works closely with farmers in it’s designated area to plant oil palm on their farmland and provide technical guidance and assistance. The company has set up five palm oil mills in India with an aggregate FFB processing capacity of 125 MT per hour and a palm kernel processing capacity of seven MT per hour, as of June 30, 2017. GAL is recognized as the ‘Highest Crude Palm Oil Producer in the Country’.

In dairy business, which it operates through Subsidiary, Creamline Dairy, it sells a majority of milk and milk-based products under the ‘Jersey’ brand across the states of Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Maharashtra. As of June 30, 2017, it owned and operated nine milk processing units. For dairy business, supply chain network includes procurement from six states through a network of 120 chilling centers, as of June 30, 2017. As on the same date, it’s dairy distribution network included approximately 4,000 milk distributors, approximately 3,000 milk product distributors and 50 retail parlours, as well as direct sales to institutional customers.

GAL also manufactures and market processed poultry and vegetarian products through its brands ‘Real Good Chicken’ and ‘Yummiez’. To grow its poultry and processed foods business, company has entered into a joint venture with Tyson India Holding Limited, a subsidiary of Tyson Foods Inc., U.S.A. This helps GAL with the technical and operational expertise to compete successfully in India. The company has set up two processing plants with integrated breeding and hatchery operations and has a diverse customer base comprising of retail customers as well as institutional clients such as quick service restaurants, fine dining restaurants, food service companies and hotels.

To part finance its repayment/pre-payment of working capital facilities, repayment of commercial paper and general corpus fund needs, GAL is coming out with a maiden IPO for fresh equity issue worth Rs. 300 crore and offer for sale of Rs. 300 crore by Godrej Industries and 12300000 equity shares under OFS by V-Science Investment Pte. Issue is being made via book building route with a price band of Rs. 450 to Rs. 460 for a share having face value of Rs. 10 each. Company has reserved shares worth Rs. 20 crore for eligible employees. Issue opens for subscription on 04.10.17 and will close on 06.10.17. Total issue size is Rs. 1157 crore including pre-IPO placements. Minimum application is to be made for 32 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE and NSE. BRLMs to this offer are Kotak Mahindra Capital Co. Ltd., Axis Capital Ltd. and Credit Suisse Securities (India) Pvt. Ltd. Kavry Computershare Pvt. Ltd. is the registrar to the issue. Having issued initial equity at par in 1991-92, company raised further equity in the price range of Rs. 82 to Rs. 2164.41 per share. It has also issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3 for 1 in March 1994, 6 for 1 in March 2015 and 1 for 1 in March 2017. In September 2017 it issued 192901 shares at a price of Rs. 440 per share under pre-IPO placement, thus the fresh issue size stands reduced to Rs. 291.51 crore (approx 6337390 shares) that includes reserve quota for employees. Post issue, GAL’s current paid up equity capital of Rs. 185.32 crore will stand enhanced to around Rs. 191.66 crore.

On performance front, GAL has (on a consolidated basis) posted turnover/net profits of Rs.3117.42 cr. / Rs. 156.56 cr. (FY14), Rs. 3325.50 cr. / Rs. 210.13 cr. (FY15), Rs. 3817.67 cr. / Rs. 261.09 cr. (FY16) and Rs. 4983.45 cr. / Rs. 274.39 cr. (FY17). For Q1 of the current fiscal, it has reported net profit of Rs. 74.29 crore on a turnover of Rs. 1369.42 cr. It has posted an average EPS of Rs. 10.02 and average RoNW of 23.86% for last three fiscals on a paid up equity capital of Rs.185.13 cr. Issue is priced at a P/BV of 7.88. If we annualize latest earnings and attribute it on fully diluted equity post issue, then asking price is at a P/E of around 30. It has no listed peers to compare with. Issue is priced justifiably considering the diverse activities.

On BRLM’s front, three merchant bankers associated with this issue have handled 42 public issues in past three fiscal years out of which 11 issues closed below the issue price on listing date.

Conclusion: After long, a well diversified company from the house of Godrej is coming with a maiden offer. Company is playing major role in all its verticals and is poised for better prospects. Investment may be considered for short to long term.

The original review is authored by Dilip Davda, appears on Chittorgarh.com and is available here.


Nifty settles below 9,800, down over 1.5% for the week; Sensex ends flat


Benchmark indices pared gains to end flat, losing over 1.5% in the week on foreign fund outflows amid worries that the government may widen its fiscal deficit target of 3.2% of gross domestic product for the year ending in March 2018 to boost an economy that grew at a slower pace than expected.

Broader markets outperformed benchmark indices with BSE Midcap and BSE smallcap indices gaining 0.8% and 1% respectively. Both indices ended over 1% for the week

Foreign investors net selling equities worth $1.1 billion during the month. They had sold worth $2 billion in shares in August.

Bajaj Auto, Adani Ports, GAIL and Eicher Motors gained the most on both indices, while HUL and Wipro were the top losers.

Realty firm Godrej Properties today said it has entered into a joint venture agreement with Royale Builders and Developers to develop a 13-acre group housing project in north Bengaluru.

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Repost: How not to fail in stock markets – 11 lessons from Rakesh Jhunjhunwala


Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is widely referred to as the Indian Warren Buffett. The investment maestro is very popular for picking up stocks that could turn into multibaggers, based on his own study of fundamentals and research models. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is a Chartered Accountant by qualification and a trader by profession.

With the stock markets on fire of late, many investors who could not invest before the bull run began must be wondering if they have missed the rally, for the benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty have already returned about 20% each so far this year. But worry they must not, for, here we take a look at 11 key lessons on the stock market from the big bull investor himself, which may help investors to stop failing in the stock markets, cut losses, and turn profits.

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Reblog: 9 books about financial markets you really should read


Earlier this week I wrote (again) about the importance of understanding financial market history. This prompted a few people to ask for some of my favourite books on the topic. Here goes:

Devil Take the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation

If I had to pick just one book to read on the topic, this would be the one. Edward Chancellor weaves history, psychology, and economics beautifully in what is also one of the better-named finance books I’ve come across.

The Panic of 1907: Lessons Learned From the Market’s Perfect Storm

The story behind the banking crisis most people probably aren’t familiar with. This book shows how primitive the financial markets were before banking regulations and the Fed came around.

The Great Depression: A Diary

This first-person account of what life was like during the Great Depression is not only a lesson in financial market history but also how difficult that period in history was for those living through it. I can’t recommend this one enough.

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Reblog: Prataap Snacks IPO review


Prataap Snacks Ltd. (PSL) an Indore based company is one of the top six Indian snack food companies in terms of revenues in 2016, and among the fastest growing companies in the Indian organized snack market between 2010 and 2016. Based on the FS Report, the snacks market in India is estimated at approximately Rs. 55000 crore out of which organized snack market is estimated at Rs. 22000 crore and grew at a CAGR of 14% between 2012 and 2016. With increasing competition and cost pressure, there has been a gradual shift from an unorganized to organized sector across the various product segments. PSL is present in three major savory snack food categories in India and all its products are sold under the “Yellow Diamond” brand. As of July 31, 2017, PSL had 40 flavors of Chips and extruded snacks and 23 varieties of Namkeen in the market. It is set to launch special snacks for health-conscious consumers and also sweet bites in the near future.

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Sensex ends Friday nearly 450 pts lower, Nifty breaches 10,000; midcaps tank


Equity benchmark indices witnessed a carnage on Friday, with the Sensex ending nearly 450 points lower, while the Nifty breached 10,000-mark, falling over 150 points.

The benchmark indices fell over 1%, extending losses for the fourth straight session, while the rupee hit its weakest point since early April amid concerns that the government’s plan for a stimulus to halt an economic slowdown may have a negative impact on the fiscal deficit.

Global investor sentiment was also subdued after North Korea said it might test a hydrogen bomb in the Pacific Ocean and escalated a war of words with US President Donald Trump.

The Sensex closed down 447.60 points at 31922.44, while the Nifty ended lower by 157.50 points at 9964.40. The market breadth was negative as 524 shares advanced against a decline of 2,082 shares, while 144 shares were unchanged.

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