Reblog: How To Trade Thin Markets


A thin market refers to a market characterized by a minimal number of buyers and sellers plus high price volatility. Also referred to as a narrow market, it is also characterized by high bid-ask spreads and low trading volume.

This type of market does experience lots of drastic swings thus making it difficult for traders and investors to trade systematically. As a result, it is quite common in a thin market for price fluctuations to be larger between transactions and slippage can be a common occurrence.

As said earlier, a thin market is characterized by a small number of traders – buyers and sellers- which results in a low volume of transactions and illiquidity. Due to this, price movement becomes more volatile.

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Reblog: Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More


“In the chronicles of American financial history,” writes David Clark in The Tao of Charlie Munger: A Compilation of Quotes from Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman on Life, Business, and the Pursuit of Wealth, “Charlie Munger will be seen as the proverbial enigma wrapped in a paradox—he is both a mystery and a contradiction at the same time.”

On one hand, Munger received an elite education and it shows: He went to Cal Tech to train as a meteorologist for the Second World War and then attended Harvard Law School and eventually opened his own law firm. That part of his success makes sense.

Yet here’s a man who never took a single course in economics, business, marketing, finance, psychology, or accounting, and managed to become one of the greatest, most admired, and most honorable businessmen of our age. He was noted by essentially all observers for the originality of his thoughts, especially about business and human behavior. You don’t learn that in law school, at Harvard or anywhere else.

Bill Gates said of him: “He is truly the broadest thinker I have ever encountered.” His business partner Warren Buffett put it another way: “He comes equipped for rationality… I would say that to try and typecast Charlie in terms of any other human that I can think of, no one would fit. He’s got his own mold.”

How does such an extreme result happen? How is such an original and unduly capable mind formed? In the case of Munger, it’s clearly a combination of unusual genetics and an unusual approach to learning and life.

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Reblog: The 6 Stages Of A Trader’s Development Part 2


This is the second part of the article. The first part can be accessed here.

Stage Four: The Determined Trader

  1. This is the stage in which you learn to specialize in certain markets and trading methods.
  2. Without realizing it, you have finally found your style of trading after hours of hard work and research. You stick to your method and you improve it
  3. You realize that you need an edge whether its tape reading or being a Fibonacci expert. The important thing is you are slowly transforming yourself into a specialized trader
  4. You test your methods and they seem to work. You gain tremendous market knowledge.
  5. You reflect back on yourself and you can’t help but laugh at your foolishness.
  6. Although you have not made enough money to call yourself successful you are proud of your journey and accomplishments
  7. You realize that the Holy Grail is not about technical indicators or price patterns
  8. You calculate risk before profits and place strict money management on all your trades.
  9. You cut losses short and learn to scale out on your winners.
  10. You start accept losing as a natural part of the game
  11. You take high probability trades that you have tested and feel confident about your setups because you understand that trading is a game of probabilities
  12. Your psychological makeup has changed from an amateur mindset to a professional one.

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Reblog: The 6 Stages Of A Trader’s Development Part 1


Stage One: The Clueless Trader

Image result for clueless trader

  1. Heard of a day trader making millions, or buying options is safe and can make you rich quickly
  2. Beginner Luck in first few trades.
  3. You will buy just to see the market reverse and you will short just as the market starts to rally. Someone is tracking my trades and making me lose money.
  4. Most of your trades are done emotionally. You buy just because the markets feel strong without any logical reason
  5. You have no clue how the mechanics and psychology of trading works. What’s worse? You are not aware that you don’t know.
  6. Most traders will blow their entire account multiple at this stage.
  7. Mostly you start your trading in fag end of bull market
  8. You will spend more time finding a broker charging least brokerage.Tracking World Markets, Bitcoins instead of making a trading plan for next day.
  9. A big majority of people will leave trading and blame the randomness of markets, or say markets are always manipulated
  10. You don’t know what is short selling or have never tried it, no idea of stop loss as well
  11. You are in the unconscious incompetence stage, at this stage, your capital is at maximum risk

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Reblog: How to Value Invest in a Bull Market: Advice From Irving Kahn


You might not be aware of him, but Irving Kahn is one of the best value investors to have ever lived.

Unlike other, more famous value investors, Kahn kept a relatively low profile during his career, but that does not mean his advice is any less relevant.

Born in 1905, Kahn’s investing career began in 1928. He continued value investing until his death a few years ago. Kahn was one of the few value investors who were able to learn from the godfather of value investing himself, Benjamin Graham. In fact, Kahn worked closely with Graham over his career, even assisting as Graham’s teaching assistant at Columbia University Business School. He went on to contribute to Graham’s bible on value investing, “Security Analysis,” by providing some statistical help.

Such a close relationship with Graham helped Kahn build his value mentality, and he was able to add to this base education over the course of his career as he rode through the peaks and troughs of the market.

Indeed, Kahn’s long life gave him an unrivaled knowledge of the market, stocks and trading psychology. Kahn’s career started in the days when it was not easy to find an undervalued equity; you had to do the hard work yourself:

“I understand that net-net stocks are not too common anymore, but today’s investors should not complain too much because there were only a handful of industries in which to look for stocks in the old days. Now there are so many different types of businesses in so many different countries that investors can easily find something. Besides, the Internet has made more information available. If you complain that you cannot find opportunities, then that means you either haven’t looked hard enough or you haven’t read broadly enough.”

Kahn wrote few thought pieces over his career but those he did pen are fascinating. In 2012, a letter to Kahn’s investors from himself was published on Bloomberg. It contained some advice on the state of the market and thoughts on the market rally that was in place since 2009:

“I’ve seen a lot of recoveries. I saw crash, recovery, World War II. A lot of economic decline and recovery. What’s different about this time is the huge amount of quote-unquote information. So many people watch financial TV—at bars, in the barber shop. This superfluity of information, all this static in the air.

There’s a huge number of people trading for themselves. You couldn’t do this before 1975, when commissions were fixed by law. It’s a hyperactivity that I never saw in the ’40s, ’50s, and ’60s. A commission used to cost you a hell of a lot; you couldn’t buy and sell the same thing 16 times a day.”

With many decades of experience behind him at this point, Kahn’s views on the level of trading being conducted by investors are fascinating. This was only a few years ago, and in that time trading volumes have picked up further still. If Kahn thought there was too much information around in 2012, what would he have thought today?

What was his advice at the time? Well, Kahn warned readers that, considering the level of the market and overtrading, it’s best to look to protect the downside, don’t take on too much risk and stick to the basics because you never know when the decline will come:

“You say you feel a recovery? Your feelings don’t count. The economy, the market: They don’t care about your feelings. Leave your feelings out of it. Buy the out-of-favor, the unpopular. Nobody can predict the market. Take that premise to heart and look to invest in dollar bills selling for 50¢. If you’re going to do your own research and investing, think value. Think downside risk. Think total return, with dividends tiding you over. We’re in a period of extraordinarily low rates—be careful with fixed income. Stay away from options. Look for securities to hold for three to five years with downside protection. You hope you’re in a recovery, but you don’t know for certain. The recovery could stall. Protect yourself.”

The original article is authored by Rupert Hargreaves and is available here.


Reblog: Calendar Spread Definition – Day Trading Terminology


Calendar spread is an options strategy that allows traders and investors to enter long and short positions simultaneously for the same underlying and strike price but different expiration dates.

Option traders can utilize calendar spreads as a way to get into a long position at a cheaper price by selling the other leg and bringing in a credit. As a result, the option trader has the choice of owning longer-term calls or puts for less money. Keep in mind that this strategy can be used with both calls or puts.

How To Trade A Calendar Spread

Calendar Spread

As said earlier, the calendar spread is an option trading strategy where a trader opens two legs with different expiring dates for the same security. In the picture above, you can see that we are selling the earlier expiration (aka the front month) in January and buying the longer expiration set for February. Your max loss on this trade is your net debit you paid to open the position while your max gain is theoretically unlimited.

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Reblog: The Secret Ingredient If You Want To Become A Full Time Trader – What Nobody Talks About


Looking back, I now realize that what allowed me to finally establish consistency into my trading was not a better trading strategy or a different method, but something I never expected when I started out as a trader.

In today’s society where the average attention span has dropped to 8 seconds, where 140 character tweets seem too long (#TLDR) and people skip YouTube videos after just a few seconds, we easily lose the connection to ourselves…

The concept of “self-awareness” has a woo woo ring to it and most traders will not listen to you if you start a trading conversation by referring to self-awareness. However, if you really want to make this work and if you want to finally realize your goal of becoming a pro trader, you have to listen and I am 100% certain that you will be able to relate to my story as well.

What is self-awareness? Forget the spiritual mumbo-jumbo

Unfortunately, most people, and especially traders who are often numbers driven and very rational, associate the term self-awareness with something spiritual and connect the wrong assumptions with it. This is very unfortunate because I have never met a successful trader who is not also very self-aware. You’ll see soon that self-awareness is something very different from what you believe it is.

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Reblog: How to Act in a Bear Market: Part 2


Last time, I wrote an article discussing a valuable piece of advice from Seth Klarman (Trades, Portfolio) on how to act in falling markets.

The key message of the article was that in a bear market, the best strategy to follow is to continue as you always have. As Klarman notes, “Controlling your process is absolutely crucial to long-term investment success in any market environment.” The last thing you should do is try to time the market:

“While it is always tempting to try to time the market and wait for the bottom to be reached (as if it would be obvious when it arrived), such a strategy has proven over the years to be deeply flawed…the price recovery from a bottom can be very swift. Therefore, an investor should put money to work amidst the throes of a bear market, appreciating that things will likely get worse before they get better.”

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Reblog: Review IndoStar Capital Finance Limited IPO


After a lull in the month of April 2018, long wait for main board IPO for financial year 18-19 is over with a non-banking finance company breaking the ice with its float of around Rs. 1850 crore. Details of the first main board IPO of this fiscal is given hereunder:

Indostar Capital Finance Ltd. (ICFL) is a leading non-banking finance company (“NBFC”) registered with the Reserve Bank of India as a systemically important non-deposit taking company. It is a professionally managed and institutionally owned organization which is primarily engaged in providing bespoke Indian Rupee denominated structured term financing solutions to corporate and loans to small and medium enterprise (“SME”) borrowers in India. ICFL recently expanded its portfolio to offer vehicle finance and housing finance products. Although, the company operated in a challenging credit environment in the initial years of our business operations business has experienced growth since the commencement of operations in 2011. Between fiscal 2013 and 2017, its total credit exposure, total revenue and net profits grew at a CAGR of 30.0%, 31.4% and 23.7% respectively. Its corporate lending business which was at 99.8% in FY 2015 declined to 76.8% for the period ended 31.12.17 and for the said periods, its SME lending business grew from 0.2% to 22.7%. Vehicle financing operations started from November 2017 and housing finance operations started from March 2018.

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Reblog: Seth Klarman: How to Act in a Bear Market


In today’s market, after nearly a decade of low volatility and steadily rising stock prices, it is easy to forget the turmoil that gripped the stock market, and the world, in 2008-09.

Even though a crash might seem a million miles away currently, you never know when the next decline might arrive, so it is always best to prepare for the worst. The best way to prepare is to read accounts of investors given at the time.

This will not give you answers as to when the next crash will arrive (all but impossible to predict), but it will provide a sort of template as to what goes on.

Learning from Klarman

One of the most fascinating accounts of investing during the crisis comes from Seth Klarman (Trades, Portfolio). In February 2009, Klarman wrote an article in Value Investor Insight titled, “The Value of Not Being Sure.” Within the article, he detailed how he was investing in the crisis and why he thinks fear is such a great motivator.

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