Reblog: Only a Market Crash Can Stop Warren Buffett From Winning This $1 Million Bet


It was a $1 million bet: Could hedge funds outperform index funds over a decade?

Warren Buffett said no in 2007. Now it looks like the billionaire investor was right.

His chosen index fund, the Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares, climbed 66% from the start of the bet through the end of 2015, compared with a gain of 22% for a basket of hedge funds selected by asset manager Protégé Partners, including fees.

The $1 million bet with Protégé Partners ends Dec. 31. At this point, it would take a massive stock-market drop for Mr. Buffett to lose. An extended bull market and sub par performance by many hedge funds since the 2008 financial crisis have helped his case.

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