Reblog: IPO Analysis – PNB Housing Finance


PNB Housing Finance is entering the primary market on Tuesday 25th October 2016, to raise Rs. 3,000 crore, via a fresh issue of equity shares of Rs. 10 each, in the price band of Rs. 750 to Rs. 775 per share. Based on the price discovered, company will issue 3.9 to 4.0 crore equity shares at the upper and lower end of the price band respectively. Representing 23.37% of the post issue paid-up share capital at the upper end, issue closes on Thursday 27th October.

51% subsidiary of Punjab National Bank, PNB Housing Finance is India’s 5th largest home loan provider (after HDFC, LIC Housing, Dewan and Indiabulls Housing) with loan book of Rs. 30,900 crore (30-6-16), 70% of which is housing loans, having average ticket size of Rs. 32 lakh. Average ticket size for non-housing loans, which constitute 30% of the loan book, is Rs 57 lakh. With operations mostly in the urban areas of North, South and West India, its loan book has posted CAGR of 62% between March 2012 to June 2016.

While FY16 revenue grew 52% YoY to Rs. 2,700 crore, Net interest income (NII) jumped 63% YoY to Rs. 840 crore, leading to net profit of Rs. 328 crore and EPS of Rs. 27.58, on equity of Rs. 126.92 crore. Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.98% was clocked in FY16, up from FY15’s 2.94%, while Return on average assets (RoA) stood at 1.35%, up from FY15’s 1.27%.

The stupendous financial performance continued into FY17, with revenue of Rs. 863 crore, NII of Rs. 255 crore and net profit of Rs. 96 crore for the June quarter. Q1FY17 EPS stood at Rs. 7.57. Despite the phenomenal growth, asset quality is has remained intact, infact better than industry average. Gross NPAs, as of 30-6-16, of Rs. 84 crore, represents 0.27% of gross assets.

As of 30-6-16, company had networth of Rs. 2,240 crore, translating to BVPS of Rs. 177. It has only 2 shareholders – parent Punjab National Bank (51%) and Carlyle Group (49%), the latter pursuant to its acquisition of Destimoney Enterprises in Feb 2015. Fresh issue proceeds of Rs. 3,000 crore will augment company’s capital base. Current capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stands at 13.04% vis-à-vis regulatory requirement of 12%.

Given the room which fresh capital will provide the company for further leverage, capital being lifeline for any finance business, FY17 expected EPS is estimated at about Rs. 35 per share. At Rs. 775, company’s market cap will be Rs. 12,837 crore, upon listing, based on expanded equity of Rs. 165.63 crore. Estimated BVPS, as of 31-3-17, is Rs. 340, which translates into PBV multiple of 2.3x, while the PE multiple works out to 22x, based on current year estimates.

Below is a comparison with other listed housing finance companies, both bigger and smaller than the company:

Company Name

(Rs. Crore)

Loan Assets

Revenue

PAT

Gross NPA %

Current Market Cap

Mcap % to loan assets

PE

PBV

As of 30-6-16

QoQ Growth

FY16

YoY growth

FY16

YoY growth

Margin

30-6-16

FY17E

FY17E

LIC Housing

1,27,437

1.8%

12,396

16.2%

1,661

19.8%

13.4%

0.59%

31,087

24%

16.9x

2.8x

Dewan

72,012

3.6%

7,312

22.2%

729

17.4%

10.0%

0.98%

10,455

15%

11.6x

1.7x

Indiabulls Housing

71,026

3.4%

8,290

28.2%

2,345

23.4%

28.3%

0.84%

37,121

52%

12.5x

2.7x

PNB Housing

30,901

13.7%

2,700

51.6%

328

68.9%

12.1%

0.27%

12,837*

42%*

22.1x*

2.3x*

Gruh Finance

11,543

3.9%

1,275

20.3%

244

19.5%

19.1%

0.56%

12,409

108%

44.3x

11.1x

Can Fin

11,183

5.1%

1,084

32.6%

157

82.1%

14.5%

0.24%

4,861

43%

22.1x

4.3x

* at upper end of price band of Rs. 775 per share

The growth rates which PNB Housing has posting is the highest in the industry (only Can Fin reported higher PAT growth in FY16, but its revenue and loan book growth was much lower). Moreover, PNB Housing’s NPAs have also been under check – 2nd best in the peer set. While net margins and RoE can improve further, based on valuation parameters of PBV multiple (2.3x) and market cap as a % to loan assets (42%), the pricing of the issue appears in-line. Growth visibility in the stock remains very high, given the fresh capital coming into the business, which provides added comfort.

Housing finance industry has been on a growth trajectory, with further headroom for growth. Company’s industry-leading growth coupled with sound fundamental position make it an attractive investment opportunity, albeit softening due to higher base.

Positive sector outlook coupled with stunning growth rates make the issue a subscribe.

Disclosure: No Interest.

The original article is authored by Geetanjali Kedia and is available here.


Reblog: ICICI Prudential Life Insurance IPO review


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The article is authored by Dilip Davda, a SEBI registered Research Analyst and can be found here.

Issue Summary

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co. Ltd. (IPLICL) is the largest private sector life insurer in India by total premium in fiscal 2016 and assets under management at March 31, 2016. It is a joint venture between ICICI Bank Limited, India’s largest private sector bank in terms of total assets with an asset base of 7.2 trillion at March 31, 2016, and Prudential Corporation Holdings Limited, a part of the Prudential Group, an international financial services group with GBP 509 billion of assets under management at December 31, 2015. IPLICL is one of the first private sector life insurance companies in India and commenced operations in fiscal 2001. It offers a range of life insurance, health insurance and pension products and services. Every fiscal year since fiscal 2002, it has consistently generated the most new business premiums on a retail weighted received premium basis among all private sector life insurers in India.

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10 things to know in L & T Infotech IPO


The original post appeared in Business Standard and is available here.

L&T Infotech will not be enjoying the proceeds of the present issue as this being an offer for sale, the entire sale amount of around Rs 1,200 crore will go the parent L&T.

With an aim to unlock value of its subsidiary and realise the benefit of listing, engineering giant L&T is offering its holding in its subsidiary L&T Infotech for sale. This marks the listing of a sizeable IT company in India after a long time. The issue will be priced around Rs. 705-710 per share and will be hitting the market on July 11, 2016.

We take a closer look at the company, its operations and positioning among its peers. Here are 10 key points to note in L&T Infotech:

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