Sensex ends 248 points lower on weak global cues


Markets on Friday ended lower, amid weak global cues, as investors booked profits after sharp gains in the previous session which lifted the benchmarks to 18-month highs. Further, testing of a nuclear weapon by North Korea also dampened sentiment for riskier assets.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended down by 248 points at 28,797 and the Nifty50 slipped 86 points to settle at 8,867. In the broader markets, BSE Midcap and the Smallcap indices eased between 0.5%-1% each. Market breadth ended weak with 1604 losers and 1146 gainers on the BSE.

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Repost: We are at the start of a bull market, it is going to make us forget 2003: Rakesh Jhunjhunwala


The original interview with Rakesh Jhunjhunwala appeared on The Economic Times and is available here.

In an exclusive interview with ET Now, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Partner, Rare Enterprises, says markets could correct any time it is going to correct more time wise rather than price wise. Edited excerpts
ET Now: I want to start with something which I picked up on my WhatsApp couple of days ago and it says that there is a strong market rumour that a big bull, which is you, has informed his close circle of friends and his associates that markets have topped out and now we may see a significant correction going forward. Have you told your friends anything like this?

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: My opinion especially in oil, I think $60 for oil is not to be crossed. Onshore oil costs $3 and the fracking capacity is 10%, 15% of oil capacity in America. The whole world has still not even started and in lot of other countries there are not so many as might have been concerns as there are in America. Third thing is with lower prices, OPEC countries are compelled to produce more because of the cost. So I think personally oil prices at $60 is a line which is not going to be crossed, it is a prediction, I reserve the right to be wrong but it is my opinion that to cross it is very, very difficult. Even in other metal areas, I am not very bullish on prices. I think metal prices in general may have topped out.
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Reblog: Why Artificial Intelligence is a Game Changer for Risk Management


This article reinforces our belief that social media information coupled with artificial intelligence helps predict the stock market behaviour. And this is the very premise on which StockArchitect came into being.

The original post is written by Stacy O’Neil Jackson, Market Leader, Regulatory, Forensics & Compliance at Deloitte Services LP and is available here.

Robot

The idea of computers outsmarting and replacing humans has existed in movies and books for decades. Fortunately, that hasn’t happened on a wide scale yet. But what has happened is the recent emergence of artificial intelligence concepts – specifically cognitive computing – which involve advanced technology platforms that can address complex situations that are characterized by ambiguity and uncertainty.  Cognitive computing has begun to augment and empower business decisions right alongside human thought process and traditional analytics. In fact, the domain of risk management, lends itself particularly well to cognitive computing capabilities, as typical risk issues often include unlikely and / or ambiguous events.

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Nifty closes above the psychological 8800! Telecom rebounds.


Renewed buying interest drove equity benchmarks nearly 3 percent higher during the week, which was the first weekly rally after consolidation for a month.

Late buying helped the Nifty close above psychological 8800 level for the first time since April 2015, driven by banks, auto and telecom stocks.

The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 108.63 points to 28532.11 and the 50-share NSE Nifty gained 35 points at 8809.65.

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Reblog: Seeking stocks that beat market returns? Apply these 2 filters


This is an interview with Saurabh Mukherjea, author of the book ‘The Unusual Billionaires’. The original post appears here on moneycontrol.com.

Saurabh feels the buy-and-hold approach to investing holds true even as volatile financial markets and disruptive changes across sectors are questioning its validity.

Consistent revenue growth combined with a consistent return on capital employed: if a company has been delivering on these two parameters for over ten years, then look no further. That, in effect, is the theme of Saurabh Mukherjea’s second book ‘The Unusual Billionaires’. The book says that a portfolio of companies which satisfies both these criteria will invariably beat the market over the next decade and more.

Mukherjea, whose day job is CEO, Institutional Equities at Ambit Capital, feels the buy-and-hold strategy for stock investing holds true even as volatile financial markets and disruptive changes across sectors are questioning its validity.

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Reblog: 40,000 times in hundred years = 11.3%


This hard hitting article is written by D. Muthukrishnan (Muthu). The original post can be found here.

I was reading this article written by Vivek Kaul.

A bungalow in Nepean Sea Road, South Mumbai was bought for around Rs.1 lakh in 1917. It is now going to be sold for Rs. 400 crores. The value of the bungalow has multiplied by whopping forty thousand times in 100 years.

Real estate is always discussed in terms of how many times it has multiplied. Rarely anyone in that industry calculates XIRR or annualised returns. 40,000 times in 100 years when expressed in terms of XIRR is 11.3%. Not a bad return at all. But nowhere as glamorous as saying 40,000 times.

Many tell me something like that the property they bought 25 years ago has multiplied by 10 times. Sounds fantastic. But the annualised return works out to 9.6%.

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Luck smiles on Tata Motors, Trident as Wipro wilts


The flower of optimism wilted on Dalal Street on Friday as Wipro hit its lowest level in more than two years.

The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex shed 54 points to end the day at 27,782. The 50-share gauge Nifty50 closed at 8,572, lower by 19 points.

Shares of Wipro tumbled to their two-year low during the session. The stock plunged another 3 percent after a 3 percent decline seen on Thursday. The company had posted weaker-than-expected numbers for June quarter and investors see it wilting under the pressure that the IT giants are facing this year.

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Reblog: How long does it take to discover Welspun India’s new worth?


The original article appeared in LiveMint on August 26, 2016 and can be found here.

In four trading sessions, Welspun India’s market valuation came down to Rs. 5,700 cr. If there were no circuit filters, we would have known this within minutes on Monday.

g_m2m_welspun_web-kLNG--621x414@LiveMint

Late last week, Target Corp. said it will end its business relationship with Welspun India Ltd, stating it had received bedsheets where Egyptian cotton was substituted with a cheaper variant.

When stock market trading resumed on Monday, it was clear Welspun India wasn’t worth the Rs.10,370 crore valuation it enjoyed until the prior week. But how much was it now worth?

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Reblog: Market Strategy and the Biggest Risk in Stocks in times of high valuations


The original post is written by Mastermind, Sanasecurities and is available here.

Over the last few weeks, markets have beaten all resistance barriers and have defied the very notion of value. Those waiting for a correction sometime back have now jumped in hoping for newer all time highs.

Anybody who believes in value may not find much for the taking. Certain I am however that many old school value buyers are neck deep in stocks right now. Perhaps for the right reason given the enormous liquidity coupled with strong news flow both domestically and from international markets.

Markets are risky – more so at the kind of valuations they are trading at right now. Nevertheless, from positive earnings, passage of GST, U.S. Jobs data and FEDs almost certain stance of maintaining interest rates, everything looks positive.

If you are already invested, in all likelihood you would have made money over the past 2-3 months. The key question: If you are not invested, should you jump in now?

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Thank you, Thank you, Thank you 15000 times over


15000 Thank yous

A Chinese philosopher, Lao Tzu (not Confucius) so rightly said, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step”.

Somewhere in 2010, what started as just another idea, soon developed into a web portal. A portal where people could get real-time views of the people who matter and about the scripts they wanted to gather information about.

Just last week, we hit 15000 users! And as we write, the number has already crossed 15200. While we would like to thank each one of you personally, this, honestly, is a herculean task. This post is our effort to reach out to each one of you and say thank you. We are well and truly humbled by your support, without which, we would not have been able to reach this milestone.

From the team at StockArchitect, here’s to more information, ideas and investing in the years to come. Exciting times ahead as we are bringing in new features including a complete revamp of the website. Should you have any suggestions, please send them to us online. Rest assured, we are listening.

Please follow us on other channels to get the information and a dash of investing humour too.

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Thank you once again.

The StockArchitect Team