Reblog: Principles of Profitable Trading

A profitable stock trader’s success is not based on picking the right stock at the right time. There are dynamics that determine success other than entries and picks. Millionaires aren’t  created because they have a magic system for trading through all market environments. There are a couple of things that influence profitable trading, and they could surprise you.

#1. Having the right mindset to win; psychology.

#2. Managing your risk exposure on each trade; risk management.

No system will work if you can’t trade it consistently. You must stick to your method when you are losing. Whether it’s to keep taking entries, to go to the sidelines and wait for volatility, or to settle down and wait for a trend to emerge.

You must stay in the game and be ready to take your entry signals. The primary reason that traders lose money is that they give up when things get tough because they don’t have faith in their system. A trader must persevere,  never quit learning, never quit working, and always be ready to trade.

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Reblog: Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. IPO Review

Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. (LTHL) is India’s largest hotel chain in the mid-priced hotel sector, and the third largest overall, on the basis of controlling interest in owned and leased rooms, as of June 30, 2017, according to the Horwath Report. It is the ninth largest hotel chain in India in terms of owned, leased and managed rooms, as of June 30, 2017, according to the Horwath Report. LTHL operates in the mid-priced hotel sector, consisting of the upper-midscale, midscale and economy hotel segments. Company seeks to cater to Indian middle class guests and deliver differentiated yet superior service offerings, with a value-for-money proposition. The company opened our first hotel with 49 rooms in May 2004 and as on 31.01.2018 it had 4,697 rooms in 45 hotels (including managed hotels) across 28 cities in India. On the said date it has 662992 members in loyalty programme as “Lemon Tree Smiles” and the number is continuously rising.

LTHL aims to be India’s largest and most preferred chain of hotels and resorts in each of the upper-midscale, midscale and economy hotel segments. Due to the dynamic and evolving nature of Indian guests’ expectations and based on its market research, company has created three brands in order to address these three hotel segments: (1) ‘‘Lemon Tree Premier’ which is targeted primarily at the upper-midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests who seek to use hotels at strategic locations and are willing to pay for premium service and hotel properties; (2) “Lemon Tree Hotels” which is targeted primarily at the midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests and offers a comfortable, cost-effective and convenient experience; and (3) “Red Fox by Lemon Tree Hotels” which is targeted primarily at the economy hotel segment.

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Stocks slide to 5-month lows, Nifty ends below 10,000 on trade war fears

The BSE Sensex plunged by about 410 points to close at a five-month low while the broader Nifty crashed below the 10,000 mark for the first time this year following a global sell-off due to fears of a trade war as US President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese goods.

The 30-share Sensex tumbled by 409.73 points or 1.24 per cent to close at a five-month low of 32,596.54, a level last seen on October 23 last year.

The 50-issue Nifty ended below the psychological 10,000-level by dropping 116.70 points or 1.15 per cent to 9,998.05, the lowest closing level in five months. The level was last seen on October 11 last year, when it had closed at 9,984.80.

Investors lost around Rs 1.57 trillion in market valuation on Friday.

For the fourth straight week, the flagship Sensex recorded a fall of 579.46 points, or 1.75 per cent, while the NSE Nifty lost 197.10 points, or 1.93 per cent.

Realty, metal, bankex, capital goods, healthcare, PSU, auto and oil & gas stocks recorded widespread losses.

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Reblog: ICICI Securities IPO Review

Verdict: I C it as an expensive Security

IPO Snapshot:

ICICI Securities is entering the primary market on Thursday 22nd March 2018, with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 7.82 crore equity shares of Rs. 5 each by promoter ICICI Bank, in the price band of Rs. 519 to Rs. 520 per share. Representing 23.98% of the post issue paid-up share capital, ICICI Bank will rake in Rs. 4,017 crore at the upper end of the price band, which will help it partly off-set higher loss provisions. Issue is closing on Monday 26th March and listing is likely on 5th April.

Company Overview:

ICICI Securities, a wholly owned capital market arm of ICICI Bank, offers broking (through, investment banking, portfolio management services (PMS) and financial products distribution (mutual fund and insurance) to retail and institutional customers, through its marketing network of 200 own branches, 2,600+ branches of ICICI Bank, 4,600+ sub-brokers and independent financial associates. The technology, whether broking or mutual fund distribution is a ‘me-too’ or easily replicable, and most other full-fledged broking firms like Motilal Oswal or a discount broker such as Zerodha or many fin-tech start-ups in mutual fund distribution have similar offerings. Hence, its technological capabilities are not out-of-the-world and are simply keeping up with the changing times. Approximately 60% of income is generated through broking, 10% from investment banking, 15% from mutual fund distribution and balance through distribution fee of insurance and other products.

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Reblog: Popularly Followed Investment Philosophies

Legendary investor Warren Buffet laid the ground rules for investment philosophy when he set two rules for investing. Rule Number 1 of investing according to Buffet is never losing money and Rule Number 2 is Don’t forget Rule Number 1.

But that is easier said than done, especially for a retail investor or a novice investor. In order not to lose money in the market is to pick up stocks which are close to the bottom. No fund manager, not even Warren Buffet has been consistently able to pick the bottom. But what differentiates a professional to a rookie is the ability to patiently wait and stick to their well-defined set of rules. It is not important to pick the bottom to make money, but as far as the price is right all that is needed to sit on the investment and patiently watch it grow. As the saying goes in the market it is not the brain that brings home the profit but its stomach to hold through the times.

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Reblog: Mishra Dhatu Nigam IPO

Verdict: Healthy LT prospects, but not for ST

IPO Snapshot:

Mishra Dhatu Nigam is entering the primary market on Wednesday 21st March 2018 with an offer for sale of up to 4.87 crore equity shares of Rs. 10 each, by the Govt. of India, in the price band of Rs. 87 to Rs. 90 per share, with Rs. 3 per share retail discount. Representing 26% of the post issue paid-up share capital, total issue size is Rs. 433 crore at the upper end of the price band. The issue is closing on Friday 23rd March and listing is likely on 4th April.

Company Overview:

Mishra Dhatu Nigam (Midhani), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Govt. of India, is India’s leading manufacturer of special steels and super alloys and the country’s sole manufacturer of titanium alloys, used in three critical sectors such as defence, space and nuclear energy, as well as in non-strategic sectors such as railways, oil and gas among others. Company has a manufacturing facility at Hyderabad and is undertaking greenfield expansion at two locations (i) Rohtak: operations to commence in FY19, to cater to needs of bullet proof jacket for the army and (ii) Nellore: plant will be operational in two phases – first part to commence in FY19-end, while second phase is under JV with NALCO will come on stream by FY21/22.

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Reblog: Strategic Investing, How to Setup a Profit vs Loss Ratio

A profit vs loss ratio is something that can by itself help you succeed investing in the stock market. They work wonders for new traders and are used by professionals as well.

This article will explain what a profit vs loss ratio is, how to set one up, and how to stay disciplined to utilize it effectively.

What They Are

A profit vs loss ratio is a plan that you put in place to limit your downside exposure on all your trades to x% while setting a target on your upside to x% return per trade. Depending on how you setup your ratio, you can be wrong more than you are right and still make money in your portfolio.

The whole point of your profit vs loss ratio is to be able to say, “hey, even if I am wrong x times in a row and then am right once, I still am making money”.

How to Setup Your Ratio

There are 2 factors to any ratio: maximum loss % per trade, and your target profit % per trade. Once you know these you know your ratio.

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Sensex ends on Friday 509 pts lower, Nifty slips over 1%; Nifty Metal index down 2%

The market ended lower amid political upheaval after the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) formally decided to quit the NDA government.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 33,176, down 510 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,195, down 165 points.

Among sectors, metal companies were under pressure falling by over 2% on the NSE on fears that the tariffs could disrupt growth. SAIL, Vendanta, Hind Copper were trading lower in the range of 3% to 5% on the NSE.

Shares of Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, Force Motors, BEML, ICRA, Great Eastern Shipping Company and Max Financial Services were among nine stocks from the S&P BSE 500 index hitting their respective fresh 52-week lows in noon deal on the BSE.

Ramky Infrastructure has been awarded project worth Rs 939.41 crore in Srinagar in the State of Jammu & Kashmir by National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) on EPC mode. The stock gained 1.5 percent.

Shares of Dr Reddy’s Laboratories declined 3 percent as it has received Form 483 with 4 observations for its API Hyderabad Plant 1 at Jinnaram Mandal, Medak Telengana from USFDA.

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Reblog: IPO Review Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.

IPO Snapshot:

Hindustan Aeronautics is entering the primary market on Friday 16th March 2018 with an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 3.41 crore equity shares of Rs. 10 each by Government of India, in the price band of Rs.1,215 to Rs. 1,240 per share, with Rs. 25 per share retail and employee discount. Representing 10.2% of the post issue paid-up share capital, Government is expected to rake in Rs. 4,200 crore at the upper end of the price band. The issue is closing on Tuesday 20th March and listing is likely on 28thMarch.

Company Overview:

India’s largest defence PSU and world’s 39th largest aerospace, Navratna company Hindustan Aeronautics designs, develops, manufactures and maintains aircraft, helicopters, aero-engines, avionics, accessories and aerospace structures, including military aircrafts, such as MiG-21, MiG-27, Hawk Mk 132 and Su-30MKI. Over 90% of company’s Rs. 18,000 crore revenue is derived from Indian Defence Services, while exports account for about 3%. Business operations are divided into five verticals (Bangalore, MiG, Helicopter, Accessories and Design) comprising 20 production divisions and 11 R&D centres located across India, in addition to establishing 13 commercial JVs with American, Russian, Israeli and Canadian counterparts. Relying on both indigenous research as well as technology transfer and licence agreements with third parties, company spends ~7% of revenue annually towards R&D. Its Rs. 68,461 crore order book, as of 31-12-17, representing 4x annual topline, is also very encouraging.

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Reblog: Bandhan Bank IPO review

Bandhan Bank Ltd. (BBL) a microfinance company that got RBI license in 2015 for Bank has transited itself into a bank on 23rd August 2015. It had the mandate to bring IPO within three years of starting banking operation; it is coming much before that with its maiden IPO. BBL is a commercial bank focusing on serving underbanked and underpenetrated markets in India. Bandhan Bank has a banking license that permits it to provide banking services pan-India across customer segments. It currently offers a variety of asset and liability products and services designed for micro banking and general banking, as well as other banking products and services to generate non-interest income.

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